1 00:01:18,260 --> 00:01:16,820 hi I'm Michelle Johnson public affairs 2 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:18,270 manager here at NASA Ames Research 3 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:20,130 Center in California Silicon Valley 4 00:01:24,590 --> 00:01:22,170 today we're here to hear the latest 5 00:01:28,190 --> 00:01:24,600 results from NASA's exoplanet hunting 6 00:01:31,460 --> 00:01:28,200 mission the Kepler mission we have four 7 00:01:34,010 --> 00:01:31,470 panelists here today to tell us their to 8 00:01:35,539 --> 00:01:34,020 share the latest results and we'll be 9 00:01:37,490 --> 00:01:35,549 addressing our live audience as well as 10 00:01:39,020 --> 00:01:37,500 those on the phone for those joining on 11 00:01:42,770 --> 00:01:39,030 Ustream there will be a 30-second delay 12 00:01:45,859 --> 00:01:42,780 in the stream from what's happening here 13 00:01:47,450 --> 00:01:45,869 in the the newsroom for all the graphics 14 00:01:51,710 --> 00:01:47,460 that the panelists are using you can go 15 00:01:54,770 --> 00:01:51,720 to the web at WWF gov forward slash 16 00:01:56,930 --> 00:01:54,780 Kepler so the panelists will each give 17 00:01:59,600 --> 00:01:56,940 their short briefing and then we're 18 00:02:01,010 --> 00:01:59,610 going to switch to QA we'll take our 19 00:02:02,690 --> 00:02:01,020 live audience first and then go to the 20 00:02:04,700 --> 00:02:02,700 phone and then for those of you 21 00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:04,710 following on social media you can ask 22 00:02:09,740 --> 00:02:06,810 your question via Twitter take your 23 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:09,750 question with hashtag ask Kepler the 24 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:11,250 media briefing will be limited to one 25 00:02:16,610 --> 00:02:14,610 hour today's panelists are Mario Perez 26 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:16,620 Kepler program scientists in the 27 00:02:20,590 --> 00:02:18,810 astrophysics division of NASA's science 28 00:02:22,940 --> 00:02:20,600 Mission Directorate in Washington DC 29 00:02:25,250 --> 00:02:22,950 Susan Thompson Keppler research 30 00:02:27,650 --> 00:02:25,260 scientists at the SETI Institute in 31 00:02:30,830 --> 00:02:27,660 Mountain View California and here at 32 00:02:33,140 --> 00:02:30,840 NASA Ames BJ Fulton doctoral candidate 33 00:02:34,819 --> 00:02:33,150 at the University of Hawaii in Manoa and 34 00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:34,829 at the California Institute of 35 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:37,410 Technology or Caltech in Pasadena and 36 00:02:43,130 --> 00:02:39,810 finally we have Courtney dressing NASA 37 00:02:46,220 --> 00:02:43,140 Sagan fellow at Caltech so with that 38 00:02:48,620 --> 00:02:46,230 let's start it off Mario thanks Michelle 39 00:02:51,319 --> 00:02:48,630 it is indeed a pleasure to introduce 40 00:02:53,449 --> 00:02:51,329 this NASA capital release that describe 41 00:02:56,539 --> 00:02:53,459 the most recent result of the start of a 42 00:02:58,880 --> 00:02:56,549 catalog of planet candidates this Kepler 43 00:03:02,270 --> 00:02:58,890 candidate catalog contained the best 44 00:03:05,750 --> 00:03:02,280 measure and the most reliable data that 45 00:03:07,940 --> 00:03:05,760 we believe that could be planets from 46 00:03:12,110 --> 00:03:07,950 this new data will report today where 47 00:03:15,140 --> 00:03:12,120 there are 219 planet candidates which 10 48 00:03:17,630 --> 00:03:15,150 are possibly rocky and a habitable zone 49 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:17,640 of their star which is a region of 50 00:03:21,710 --> 00:03:19,410 distances from a star where liquid 51 00:03:22,860 --> 00:03:21,720 liquid water might appear on the surface 52 00:03:26,369 --> 00:03:22,870 of rocky 53 00:03:28,309 --> 00:03:26,379 planet next line Kepler which is the 54 00:03:31,860 --> 00:03:28,319 first national mission capable of 55 00:03:34,170 --> 00:03:31,870 detecting earth-sized planet make the 56 00:03:36,780 --> 00:03:34,180 detection via the transit method which 57 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:36,790 is photometric technique that measure 58 00:03:42,350 --> 00:03:39,610 the minuscule demon of starlight as a 59 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:42,360 planet passes in front of its host star 60 00:03:49,860 --> 00:03:45,970 this motion is animated in this graphic 61 00:03:51,809 --> 00:03:49,870 this new result presented to a have 62 00:03:53,490 --> 00:03:51,819 implication for understanding the 63 00:03:56,250 --> 00:03:53,500 frequency of different types of planets 64 00:03:59,130 --> 00:03:56,260 in our galaxy and help us to advance our 65 00:03:59,640 --> 00:03:59,140 knowledge how planets are form next 66 00:04:02,369 --> 00:03:59,650 slide 67 00:04:04,650 --> 00:04:02,379 Kepler spent the first four years of 68 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:04,660 this primary mission of serving one 69 00:04:09,869 --> 00:04:07,450 single star field located in the Cygnus 70 00:04:11,610 --> 00:04:09,879 constellation this new result of 71 00:04:14,190 --> 00:04:11,620 exoplanet presented to account from 72 00:04:17,129 --> 00:04:14,200 continuous observation of the signal 73 00:04:20,219 --> 00:04:17,139 field indicated on the left of this 74 00:04:23,310 --> 00:04:20,229 illustration Kepler keeps taking data 75 00:04:25,610 --> 00:04:23,320 today and for the last 40 years have 76 00:04:28,710 --> 00:04:25,620 been on a second mission named k2 77 00:04:31,379 --> 00:04:28,720 observing fields on the ecliptic plane 78 00:04:33,469 --> 00:04:31,389 of our galaxy next slide 79 00:04:37,080 --> 00:04:33,479 Kepler had been the most productive 80 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:37,090 spacecraft in detecting exoplanet future 81 00:04:44,640 --> 00:04:40,090 mission like transiting exoplanet survey 82 00:04:46,770 --> 00:04:44,650 satellite or test launching in 2018 will 83 00:04:49,260 --> 00:04:46,780 detect new exoplanets around bright and 84 00:04:50,610 --> 00:04:49,270 nearby stars we have the same transit 85 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:50,620 method used by Kepler 86 00:04:57,650 --> 00:04:54,370 lovely first launching in the mid 2020s 87 00:05:00,839 --> 00:04:57,660 will further contribute to discovery and 88 00:05:04,140 --> 00:05:00,849 characterization of exoplanet 89 00:05:08,430 --> 00:05:04,150 populations even beyond the kepler area 90 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:08,440 NASA will continue to search for new 91 00:05:13,950 --> 00:05:10,930 worlds and for science of life beyond 92 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:13,960 our solar system in summary including 93 00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:16,930 the new results announced today up to 94 00:05:23,010 --> 00:05:20,650 now Kepler has identified 4034 planet 95 00:05:24,450 --> 00:05:23,020 candidates Ward with the knowledge star 96 00:05:27,180 --> 00:05:24,460 and their two thousand and three hundred 97 00:05:29,180 --> 00:05:27,190 and thirty-five confirmed earth planet 98 00:05:32,190 --> 00:05:29,190 of all the planet candidates and 99 00:05:33,959 --> 00:05:32,200 confirmed exoplanet has discovered more 100 00:05:37,469 --> 00:05:33,969 than 80% of them 101 00:05:39,539 --> 00:05:37,479 Thanks thanks Mario joining us from the 102 00:05:41,699 --> 00:05:39,549 SETI Institute to tell us more about her 103 00:05:44,819 --> 00:05:41,709 work on the final Kepler candidate 104 00:05:47,129 --> 00:05:44,829 catalog is Susan Thompson Susan thank 105 00:05:49,469 --> 00:05:47,139 you Michelle I'm here today to announce 106 00:05:51,749 --> 00:05:49,479 the final Kepler survey catalog of 107 00:05:53,969 --> 00:05:51,759 planet candidates found from the Cygnus 108 00:05:56,639 --> 00:05:53,979 Field this is the first four years of 109 00:05:58,829 --> 00:05:56,649 data that Mario just talked about this 110 00:06:00,779 --> 00:05:58,839 is the last search that we performed and 111 00:06:03,059 --> 00:06:00,789 we used our most improved techniques and 112 00:06:05,249 --> 00:06:03,069 with that we found four thousand and 113 00:06:07,889 --> 00:06:05,259 thirty four candidates which include ten 114 00:06:10,979 --> 00:06:07,899 new terrestrial sized candidates in the 115 00:06:12,989 --> 00:06:10,989 habitable zone of their star this 116 00:06:15,089 --> 00:06:12,999 catalog is truly unique because for the 117 00:06:17,519 --> 00:06:15,099 first time we have characterized the 118 00:06:20,669 --> 00:06:17,529 catalog and as a result it allow us to 119 00:06:23,519 --> 00:06:20,679 do a direct survey of earth analogs in 120 00:06:26,399 --> 00:06:23,529 this part of the sky so we go to the 121 00:06:29,819 --> 00:06:26,409 first slide I'm plotting here our high 122 00:06:32,309 --> 00:06:29,829 confidence planet candidates along the 123 00:06:34,919 --> 00:06:32,319 x-axis you see the orbital period and 124 00:06:37,619 --> 00:06:34,929 along the y-axis you have the size of 125 00:06:40,049 --> 00:06:37,629 the planet relative to Earth on the 126 00:06:42,419 --> 00:06:40,059 there are three horizontal white lines 127 00:06:44,850 --> 00:06:42,429 showing the sizes of Jupiter Neptune and 128 00:06:46,319 --> 00:06:44,860 Earth for reference what you can see 129 00:06:48,949 --> 00:06:46,329 here is that most of the planets found 130 00:06:51,389 --> 00:06:48,959 by Kepler are smaller than Neptune and 131 00:06:52,979 --> 00:06:51,399 Kepler really truly has opened up our 132 00:06:56,399 --> 00:06:52,989 eyes to the existence of these small 133 00:06:59,279 --> 00:06:56,409 terrestrial sized worlds now if we go to 134 00:07:03,659 --> 00:06:59,289 the next slide I highlight the 219 new 135 00:07:05,519 --> 00:07:03,669 candidates found in this catalog most of 136 00:07:08,639 --> 00:07:05,529 them are small less than three Earth 137 00:07:11,359 --> 00:07:08,649 radii and several of them lie even out 138 00:07:13,469 --> 00:07:11,369 at long orbital periods near to the 139 00:07:16,979 --> 00:07:13,479 orbital period of the earth around the 140 00:07:18,689 --> 00:07:16,989 Sun however this last catalog we're 141 00:07:22,109 --> 00:07:18,699 turning our attention away from finding 142 00:07:24,149 --> 00:07:22,119 these new individual systems and towards 143 00:07:25,709 --> 00:07:24,159 trying to understand the demographics of 144 00:07:29,279 --> 00:07:25,719 these worlds that are most similar to 145 00:07:30,809 --> 00:07:29,289 our planet Earth to describe how we did 146 00:07:32,309 --> 00:07:30,819 that if you move to the next slide I 147 00:07:36,029 --> 00:07:32,319 need to tell you a little bit about how 148 00:07:39,059 --> 00:07:36,039 we go about doing our search using our 149 00:07:41,219 --> 00:07:39,069 most discerning software we search the 150 00:07:44,069 --> 00:07:41,229 two hundred thousand stars observed by 151 00:07:45,239 --> 00:07:44,079 Kepler this process is entirely 152 00:07:47,489 --> 00:07:45,249 automated and 153 00:07:49,799 --> 00:07:47,499 uniformly applied to all the data that 154 00:07:51,089 --> 00:07:49,809 is sent through through the pipeline 155 00:07:54,899 --> 00:07:51,099 which we're representing here with a 156 00:07:57,329 --> 00:07:54,909 simple blue triangle after we search the 157 00:08:00,059 --> 00:07:57,339 stars we found about 34,000 signals and 158 00:08:02,099 --> 00:08:00,069 these signals contain our transiting 159 00:08:04,049 --> 00:08:02,109 planets but they also contain a lot of 160 00:08:06,809 --> 00:08:04,059 noise either from the camera from the 161 00:08:09,539 --> 00:08:06,819 stars we then used a tool called the 162 00:08:12,119 --> 00:08:09,549 Robo Vetter to scrutinize each and every 163 00:08:14,729 --> 00:08:12,129 one of these signals in order to find 164 00:08:17,249 --> 00:08:14,739 the candidates the planet candidates 165 00:08:18,899 --> 00:08:17,259 which create the catalog so it found 166 00:08:20,850 --> 00:08:18,909 about 4000 candidates 167 00:08:24,479 --> 00:08:20,860 50 of which are terrestrial sized and in 168 00:08:25,529 --> 00:08:24,489 the hablas own of their star however we 169 00:08:27,509 --> 00:08:25,539 didn't stop there 170 00:08:29,219 --> 00:08:27,519 we needed to characterize our catalog 171 00:08:31,979 --> 00:08:29,229 and as a result we go to the next slide 172 00:08:34,379 --> 00:08:31,989 you see we injected simulated transits 173 00:08:36,929 --> 00:08:34,389 we put those to the same pipeline and we 174 00:08:38,879 --> 00:08:36,939 termined how often we missed finding 175 00:08:41,249 --> 00:08:38,889 those particular transits and as a 176 00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:41,259 result we measured the undercount of our 177 00:08:46,860 --> 00:08:44,410 survey or the catalog completeness and 178 00:08:49,799 --> 00:08:46,870 then finally we also put through 179 00:08:52,590 --> 00:08:49,809 simulated noise on the next slide and 180 00:08:55,499 --> 00:08:52,600 you can see here that if we went through 181 00:08:58,679 --> 00:08:55,509 as we put the noise sir we counted how 182 00:09:00,660 --> 00:08:58,689 often we must took noise as a transit 183 00:09:02,429 --> 00:09:00,670 and as a result we measured the over 184 00:09:06,420 --> 00:09:02,439 count of our survey or the catalog 185 00:09:08,269 --> 00:09:06,430 reliability so if we go to the next 186 00:09:12,569 --> 00:09:08,279 slide 187 00:09:14,460 --> 00:09:12,579 we were able to we with this catalog we 188 00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:14,470 were able to even examine planets that 189 00:09:18,030 --> 00:09:15,850 were found in the habitable zone of 190 00:09:20,369 --> 00:09:18,040 their stars so plotted here are the 191 00:09:22,769 --> 00:09:20,379 confirmed planets that we have found in 192 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:22,779 Kepler's halibel zone all of these are 193 00:09:28,379 --> 00:09:26,050 terrestrial size less than 1.8 times the 194 00:09:29,670 --> 00:09:28,389 size of the earth and lie in their 195 00:09:32,879 --> 00:09:29,680 Havel's own at least within their 196 00:09:34,829 --> 00:09:32,889 measured uncertainties along the x-axis 197 00:09:37,230 --> 00:09:34,839 you actually have the energy received by 198 00:09:38,970 --> 00:09:37,240 the planet so the warmer planets are on 199 00:09:41,790 --> 00:09:38,980 the left hand side they're closer to 200 00:09:44,069 --> 00:09:41,800 their star and along the x axis you have 201 00:09:45,900 --> 00:09:44,079 the temperature of the star with the 202 00:09:48,780 --> 00:09:45,910 cooler stars at the bottom and those 203 00:09:52,049 --> 00:09:48,790 stars most similar to our Sun at 5800 204 00:09:54,059 --> 00:09:52,059 Kelvin towards the top we show Venus 205 00:09:55,139 --> 00:09:54,069 Earth and Mars for reference and notice 206 00:09:56,759 --> 00:09:55,149 that the habitable zone which is 207 00:09:57,750 --> 00:09:56,769 highlighted in green runs from 208 00:10:03,180 --> 00:09:57,760 approximately 209 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:03,190 Venus to Mars for sun-like stars because 210 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:04,930 the habitable zone is much closer to 211 00:10:10,950 --> 00:10:09,010 these smaller cooler stars it's much 212 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:10,960 easier to find those planets and that's 213 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:13,090 why most of our confirmed planets around 214 00:10:18,030 --> 00:10:16,330 these small stars but now if we add in 215 00:10:21,900 --> 00:10:18,040 the candidates that were found in this 216 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:21,910 catalog which are shown in yellow you 217 00:10:27,390 --> 00:10:24,490 can see that we fill in the population 218 00:10:29,940 --> 00:10:27,400 of planets around sun-like stars those 219 00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:29,950 at the top of the diagram for instance 220 00:10:34,020 --> 00:10:32,530 if we go to the next slide you can see 221 00:10:36,720 --> 00:10:34,030 the ones that are brand-new to this 222 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:36,730 catalog and the closest Earth analog we 223 00:10:43,110 --> 00:10:39,130 have of these high-confidence candidates 224 00:10:44,670 --> 00:10:43,120 from this catalog is KY 7711 it is sits 225 00:10:46,950 --> 00:10:44,680 right next to the earth on this diagram 226 00:10:49,710 --> 00:10:46,960 meaning it receives just about the same 227 00:10:51,750 --> 00:10:49,720 amount of energy as we do from our Sun 228 00:10:57,630 --> 00:10:51,760 and it's only slightly larger than the 229 00:10:59,070 --> 00:10:57,640 earth at 1.3 Earth radii but what's also 230 00:11:01,080 --> 00:10:59,080 important besides finding these 231 00:11:03,780 --> 00:11:01,090 interesting new systems is that we have 232 00:11:05,580 --> 00:11:03,790 characterized how many planets we missed 233 00:11:08,850 --> 00:11:05,590 in this region and how many of these 234 00:11:11,310 --> 00:11:08,860 planets are likely due to noise and as a 235 00:11:13,680 --> 00:11:11,320 result we are able to extend the ability 236 00:11:16,050 --> 00:11:13,690 to do demographics from the Havel's own 237 00:11:20,370 --> 00:11:16,060 of just the smallest stars out to even 238 00:11:21,570 --> 00:11:20,380 those stars similar to the Sun so I will 239 00:11:24,890 --> 00:11:21,580 leave you with the last slide which 240 00:11:28,650 --> 00:11:24,900 again shows our planet candidates and 241 00:11:30,870 --> 00:11:28,660 point out that we have done this sort of 242 00:11:33,030 --> 00:11:30,880 demographics of exoplanets out at 243 00:11:34,830 --> 00:11:33,040 shorter periods but now with this 244 00:11:37,170 --> 00:11:34,840 catalog we're able to extend that out to 245 00:11:41,190 --> 00:11:37,180 the longest periods those periods that 246 00:11:44,850 --> 00:11:41,200 are most similar to our earth and so as 247 00:11:47,070 --> 00:11:44,860 a result this survey catalogue will be 248 00:11:49,380 --> 00:11:47,080 the foundation for directly answering 249 00:11:52,110 --> 00:11:49,390 one of astronomy's most compelling 250 00:11:55,470 --> 00:11:52,120 questions how many planets like our 251 00:11:59,070 --> 00:11:55,480 earth are actually in the galaxy thank 252 00:12:00,840 --> 00:11:59,080 you no thank you Susan now here to tell 253 00:12:02,790 --> 00:12:00,850 us about his work measuring the 254 00:12:05,700 --> 00:12:02,800 demographics of the smallest planets in 255 00:12:08,310 --> 00:12:05,710 the galaxy is BJ Fulton PJ Thank You 256 00:12:11,430 --> 00:12:08,320 Michelle yeah so I'm going to be sharing 257 00:12:13,050 --> 00:12:11,440 a very exciting result that was 258 00:12:15,210 --> 00:12:13,060 made possible thanks to the catalogues 259 00:12:17,760 --> 00:12:15,220 of thousands of kepler planets like the 260 00:12:19,410 --> 00:12:17,770 one the Susan just described we've just 261 00:12:21,930 --> 00:12:19,420 discovered that what we thought was a 262 00:12:24,270 --> 00:12:21,940 single type of planets is actually two 263 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:24,280 distinct classes of planets with quite 264 00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:32,070 before our study the Kepler mission had 265 00:12:35,670 --> 00:12:33,490 already demonstrated that small planets 266 00:12:39,030 --> 00:12:35,680 between the size of Earth and Neptune 267 00:12:40,500 --> 00:12:39,040 are both common and diverse here I'm 268 00:12:42,690 --> 00:12:40,510 showing the number of planets per 269 00:12:45,690 --> 00:12:42,700 hundred stars for a range of different 270 00:12:47,340 --> 00:12:45,700 planet sizes on the left are planets the 271 00:12:49,560 --> 00:12:47,350 size of Earth and on the right are 272 00:12:51,420 --> 00:12:49,570 planets the size of Jupiter now you see 273 00:12:53,700 --> 00:12:51,430 at around four times the size of Earth 274 00:12:57,240 --> 00:12:53,710 or about the size of Neptune the number 275 00:12:58,340 --> 00:12:57,250 of planets shoots up drastically next 276 00:13:01,650 --> 00:12:58,350 slide please 277 00:13:04,170 --> 00:13:01,660 so in order to resolve fine details in 278 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:04,180 the radius distribution of planets our 279 00:13:08,010 --> 00:13:06,130 team embarked on a five-year campaign 280 00:13:10,530 --> 00:13:08,020 with the Keck Observatory to 281 00:13:13,500 --> 00:13:10,540 characterize over 1300 stars known to 282 00:13:15,450 --> 00:13:13,510 host kepler planets since the transit 283 00:13:17,910 --> 00:13:15,460 technique used by coupler gives us a way 284 00:13:20,460 --> 00:13:17,920 to measure the Stars size rel the planet 285 00:13:23,100 --> 00:13:20,470 size relative to the Stars size by 286 00:13:24,510 --> 00:13:23,110 precisely measuring the stellar sizes we 287 00:13:27,810 --> 00:13:24,520 greatly enhanced our knowledge of the 288 00:13:30,420 --> 00:13:27,820 planets armed with the precise catalog 289 00:13:33,390 --> 00:13:30,430 of kepler planet sizes we examine the 290 00:13:35,100 --> 00:13:33,400 family tree of small planets kepler 291 00:13:37,140 --> 00:13:35,110 planets had appeared to span all sizes 292 00:13:40,320 --> 00:13:37,150 between one and four times the size of 293 00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:40,330 Earth but when measured precisely small 294 00:13:45,620 --> 00:13:42,490 planets design into two distinct size 295 00:13:47,820 --> 00:13:45,630 groups next slide please 296 00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:47,830 most of the planets in the first group 297 00:13:52,730 --> 00:13:50,410 may be akin to the earth with rocky 298 00:13:55,410 --> 00:13:52,740 surfaces and little to no atmospheres 299 00:13:58,079 --> 00:13:55,420 planets in the second group are probably 300 00:14:01,020 --> 00:13:58,089 more like cousins of Neptune's with 301 00:14:04,140 --> 00:14:01,030 thick atmospheres and no surface to 302 00:14:05,610 --> 00:14:04,150 speak of intermediate sized planets 303 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:05,620 between these two size groups are 304 00:14:09,870 --> 00:14:08,410 relatively rare this is a major new 305 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:09,880 division in the family tree of 306 00:14:14,550 --> 00:14:12,490 exoplanets somewhat analogous to the 307 00:14:18,390 --> 00:14:14,560 discovery that mammals and lizards are 308 00:14:20,070 --> 00:14:18,400 separate branches on the tree of life we 309 00:14:22,470 --> 00:14:20,080 can speculate as to why nature prefers 310 00:14:24,569 --> 00:14:22,480 to make small planets in these two sizes 311 00:14:27,460 --> 00:14:24,579 next slide please 312 00:14:28,689 --> 00:14:27,470 so the size of the planet is determined 313 00:14:30,100 --> 00:14:28,699 by the quantity and the type of 314 00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:30,110 materials that are gathered together 315 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:32,690 during the planets formation planet 316 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:34,610 sizes can also change with time if 317 00:14:39,999 --> 00:14:37,730 materials are stripped away the size of 318 00:14:42,040 --> 00:14:40,009 the planets in the first group suggests 319 00:14:44,860 --> 00:14:42,050 that Earth's like rocky planets can 320 00:14:47,559 --> 00:14:44,870 typically be no larger than about 75% 321 00:14:50,110 --> 00:14:47,569 bigger than the earth a very small 322 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:50,120 amount of light hydrogen helium gases 323 00:14:55,679 --> 00:14:52,610 goes a long way to inflate the size of 324 00:14:58,329 --> 00:14:55,689 planets adding a tiny amount of hydrogen 325 00:15:00,999 --> 00:14:58,339 to one of these rocky planets say about 326 00:15:02,980 --> 00:15:01,009 two percent by mass would cause the 327 00:15:06,910 --> 00:15:02,990 planet to jump the gap and move into the 328 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:06,920 group of larger planets planets need to 329 00:15:11,110 --> 00:15:09,290 have a very finely tuned amount of 330 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:11,120 hydrogen helium to live right in the 331 00:15:16,509 --> 00:15:13,490 middle of that gap between about 0.1% 332 00:15:19,809 --> 00:15:16,519 and 1% of hydrogen helium and that just 333 00:15:21,610 --> 00:15:19,819 doesn't leave much wiggle room the gap 334 00:15:23,110 --> 00:15:21,620 between the two planet sizes also 335 00:15:25,900 --> 00:15:23,120 suggests that environment plays a 336 00:15:28,150 --> 00:15:25,910 decisive role the atmospheres of planets 337 00:15:30,129 --> 00:15:28,160 orbiting close to their host stars are 338 00:15:32,819 --> 00:15:30,139 susceptible to being blow-torched away 339 00:15:35,499 --> 00:15:32,829 by the extreme radiation from the star 340 00:15:37,629 --> 00:15:35,509 after millions of years the slightly 341 00:15:40,210 --> 00:15:37,639 larger gaseous planets that we see today 342 00:15:41,769 --> 00:15:40,220 either needed to start with very thick 343 00:15:44,110 --> 00:15:41,779 atmospheres that could survive the 344 00:15:45,730 --> 00:15:44,120 erosion or grow up in a more benign 345 00:15:50,019 --> 00:15:45,740 environment farther away from their host 346 00:15:51,280 --> 00:15:50,029 stars the few planets that may have 347 00:15:52,600 --> 00:15:51,290 started off right in the middle of that 348 00:15:55,300 --> 00:15:52,610 gap with just the right amount of 349 00:15:57,160 --> 00:15:55,310 hydrogen helium are prone to losing all 350 00:16:01,059 --> 00:15:57,170 of that hydrogen and then moving down 351 00:16:02,650 --> 00:16:01,069 into the class of smaller planets this 352 00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:02,660 result has significant implications for 353 00:16:06,249 --> 00:16:04,970 the search for life approximately half 354 00:16:09,100 --> 00:16:06,259 of the planets that we know are so 355 00:16:11,139 --> 00:16:09,110 common have no solid surface or a 356 00:16:13,240 --> 00:16:11,149 surface deep beneath the crushing weight 357 00:16:15,970 --> 00:16:13,250 of a thick atmospheres and these would 358 00:16:17,639 --> 00:16:15,980 not be nice places to live our result 359 00:16:19,929 --> 00:16:17,649 sharpens up the dividing line between 360 00:16:21,670 --> 00:16:19,939 potentially habitable planets and those 361 00:16:23,470 --> 00:16:21,680 are that are inhospitable to life as we 362 00:16:25,119 --> 00:16:23,480 know it thank you for your attention 363 00:16:27,819 --> 00:16:25,129 I'll give it back to Michelle Thank You 364 00:16:29,319 --> 00:16:27,829 Vijay and to share her perspective on 365 00:16:30,819 --> 00:16:29,329 the results from the Kepler mission that 366 00:16:33,009 --> 00:16:30,829 you've just heard about is Courtenay 367 00:16:35,110 --> 00:16:33,019 dressing from Caltech Courtney Thank You 368 00:16:36,060 --> 00:16:35,120 Michelle we've heard remarkable results 369 00:16:37,620 --> 00:16:36,070 today 370 00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:37,630 Susan Thompson we saw the latest 371 00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:40,330 catalogue of Kepler results that catalog 372 00:16:46,680 --> 00:16:44,170 of 4034 planets includes 219 new 373 00:16:49,770 --> 00:16:46,690 detection z' and 10 possibly habitable 374 00:16:52,590 --> 00:16:49,780 worlds from BJ Fulton we learned that 375 00:16:55,290 --> 00:16:52,600 planets with radii between 1.5 and 2 376 00:16:56,940 --> 00:16:55,300 Earth radii are scarce most planets are 377 00:16:58,680 --> 00:16:56,950 either larger than that number or 378 00:17:00,690 --> 00:16:58,690 smaller than that number they're either 379 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:00,700 like the earth or like Neptune but not 380 00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:03,250 so much in between going to the next 381 00:17:07,620 --> 00:17:05,410 slide I want to take us back in time to 382 00:17:09,510 --> 00:17:07,630 2009 before the NASA Kepler mission 383 00:17:12,390 --> 00:17:09,520 launched this is what we knew about 384 00:17:14,550 --> 00:17:12,400 exoplanet populations back in 2009 on 385 00:17:16,260 --> 00:17:14,560 the left side of the plot you see the 386 00:17:19,290 --> 00:17:16,270 size of the planet relative to the earth 387 00:17:21,510 --> 00:17:19,300 the white horizontal lines indicate the 388 00:17:23,790 --> 00:17:21,520 sizes of Earth Neptune and Jupiter for 389 00:17:25,380 --> 00:17:23,800 scale on the bottom of the plot I'm 390 00:17:27,180 --> 00:17:25,390 showing you the orbital period of the 391 00:17:29,280 --> 00:17:27,190 planet or how long it takes it to go 392 00:17:30,990 --> 00:17:29,290 around its star what you see on this 393 00:17:33,180 --> 00:17:31,000 plot is that we knew about planets with 394 00:17:34,830 --> 00:17:33,190 a wide range of orbital periods but we 395 00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:34,840 didn't know a very many small planets 396 00:17:38,490 --> 00:17:36,610 most of the worlds on this plot are 397 00:17:41,790 --> 00:17:38,500 Jupiter sized maybe even if you are 398 00:17:44,610 --> 00:17:41,800 neptune-sized very few are small worlds 399 00:17:46,890 --> 00:17:44,620 like the earth advancing forward to 400 00:17:49,260 --> 00:17:46,900 after Kepler found planets we see on the 401 00:17:51,390 --> 00:17:49,270 next slide that there are now thousands 402 00:17:53,550 --> 00:17:51,400 of yellow dots these worlds were found 403 00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:53,560 by Kepler during its study of the Cygnus 404 00:17:58,980 --> 00:17:56,890 field from BJ we learned that population 405 00:18:01,410 --> 00:17:58,990 of yellow planets hovering between the 406 00:18:03,930 --> 00:18:01,420 earth line and the Neptune line actually 407 00:18:06,570 --> 00:18:03,940 divides nicely into two populations one 408 00:18:09,690 --> 00:18:06,580 smaller than 1.5 Earth radii and one 409 00:18:11,760 --> 00:18:09,700 larger than two Earth radii this sample 410 00:18:14,010 --> 00:18:11,770 of planets is quite unique and allows us 411 00:18:16,560 --> 00:18:14,020 to do sophisticated statistical studies 412 00:18:18,300 --> 00:18:16,570 as Susan pointed out this latest version 413 00:18:21,210 --> 00:18:18,310 of the Kepler catalog was found in a 414 00:18:23,490 --> 00:18:21,220 uniform way using sophisticated Robo 415 00:18:25,290 --> 00:18:23,500 vetting tools which means it can be used 416 00:18:27,420 --> 00:18:25,300 for statistical analyses to answer 417 00:18:29,970 --> 00:18:27,430 questions like how common is the earth 418 00:18:32,910 --> 00:18:29,980 in the galaxy and how many solar systems 419 00:18:35,070 --> 00:18:32,920 are like ours on the next slide I've 420 00:18:36,450 --> 00:18:35,080 highlighted several populations of 421 00:18:38,310 --> 00:18:36,460 planets that we've learned about from 422 00:18:40,500 --> 00:18:38,320 Kepler and other missions and surveys 423 00:18:42,630 --> 00:18:40,510 what we see here is different 424 00:18:44,700 --> 00:18:42,640 populations with different colored ovals 425 00:18:46,620 --> 00:18:44,710 on the top we have an oval in the top 426 00:18:48,120 --> 00:18:46,630 left for hot Jupiters worlds like 427 00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:48,130 Jupiter that are closer to their star 428 00:18:51,690 --> 00:18:49,570 than mercury is to the Sun 429 00:18:53,670 --> 00:18:51,700 on the top right we have another oval 430 00:18:55,710 --> 00:18:53,680 for cold gas giants those are worlds 431 00:18:58,290 --> 00:18:55,720 analogous to Jupiter in our own solar 432 00:19:00,180 --> 00:18:58,300 system below that we have the ocean 433 00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:00,190 world and ice giants these are the 434 00:19:03,780 --> 00:19:01,570 planets that are just on the other side 435 00:19:06,570 --> 00:19:03,790 of the gap that BJ Fulton described 436 00:19:08,550 --> 00:19:06,580 below that gap we have a large yellow 437 00:19:10,020 --> 00:19:08,560 oval showing all of the rocky planets 438 00:19:11,670 --> 00:19:10,030 that potentially could be like earth 439 00:19:13,830 --> 00:19:11,680 most of the ones shown on this diagram 440 00:19:15,690 --> 00:19:13,840 are probably hotter than the earth but 441 00:19:17,610 --> 00:19:15,700 the ones towards the right end might 442 00:19:20,220 --> 00:19:17,620 actually be cool places to live in the 443 00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:20,230 future the ones in the green oval are 444 00:19:24,150 --> 00:19:22,210 the lava worlds these planets are like 445 00:19:26,130 --> 00:19:24,160 Kepler 10b they're so close to their 446 00:19:28,140 --> 00:19:26,140 stars that their surfaces are covered in 447 00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:28,150 molten lava those would not be good 448 00:19:32,970 --> 00:19:30,850 places to live in the lower right corner 449 00:19:34,230 --> 00:19:32,980 of the plot we see the frontier this 450 00:19:36,900 --> 00:19:34,240 region does not have very many 451 00:19:38,670 --> 00:19:36,910 exoplanets in it we also see a region at 452 00:19:40,650 --> 00:19:38,680 the middle left of the plot that doesn't 453 00:19:42,360 --> 00:19:40,660 have any exoplanets but the reason for 454 00:19:44,580 --> 00:19:42,370 the absence of the planets notice - 455 00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:44,590 those two regions is different on the 456 00:19:48,990 --> 00:19:46,930 left side we don't see exoplanets there 457 00:19:50,610 --> 00:19:49,000 because they're quite rare in the lower 458 00:19:51,990 --> 00:19:50,620 right corner however we don't see 459 00:19:54,330 --> 00:19:52,000 exoplanets there because they're very 460 00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:54,340 difficult to find Kepler has been 461 00:19:58,200 --> 00:19:56,050 pushing the boundary of the frontier 462 00:20:00,150 --> 00:19:58,210 towards the right corner of the plot 463 00:20:01,950 --> 00:20:00,160 Kepler has pushed us towards smaller 464 00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:01,960 planets and planets some longer period 465 00:20:06,330 --> 00:20:04,210 orbits as we go forward towards the 466 00:20:09,390 --> 00:20:06,340 future that frontier will continue to 467 00:20:11,700 --> 00:20:09,400 advance on the next slide we see here 468 00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:11,710 the chart that Mario showed earlier this 469 00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:13,570 is the progress of NASA exoplanet 470 00:20:17,790 --> 00:20:16,210 missions through the decades here we're 471 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:17,800 focusing today on the results of the 472 00:20:22,650 --> 00:20:21,010 NASA Kepler mission next year in 2018 473 00:20:24,930 --> 00:20:22,660 the transient exoplanet survey satellite 474 00:20:27,090 --> 00:20:24,940 will launch and begin detecting planets 475 00:20:28,980 --> 00:20:27,100 around bright stars bright stars are 476 00:20:30,570 --> 00:20:28,990 fantastic for planet detection because 477 00:20:32,400 --> 00:20:30,580 those stars are well suited for 478 00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:32,410 follow-up observations that could reveal 479 00:20:36,660 --> 00:20:34,090 the mass of the planet from the ground 480 00:20:38,670 --> 00:20:36,670 after tests will be able to characterize 481 00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:38,680 the atmospheres of planets using the 482 00:20:43,710 --> 00:20:41,170 James Webb Space Telescope and find even 483 00:20:46,140 --> 00:20:43,720 more planets with W first looking 484 00:20:48,510 --> 00:20:46,150 forward to the 2030s we can imagine the 485 00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:48,520 day where we actually take direct images 486 00:20:52,470 --> 00:20:50,650 of planets like the earth in the 487 00:20:54,360 --> 00:20:52,480 habitable zones of sun-like stars I 488 00:20:55,890 --> 00:20:54,370 can't wait to see the press conference 489 00:20:57,630 --> 00:20:55,900 that will occur once those missions are 490 00:20:59,450 --> 00:20:57,640 flying thank you very much 491 00:21:02,330 --> 00:20:59,460 Thank You Courtney I neither can 492 00:21:04,220 --> 00:21:02,340 I well let's turn to questions and 493 00:21:06,380 --> 00:21:04,230 answers now we have several reporters 494 00:21:08,779 --> 00:21:06,390 here in the live audience and a number 495 00:21:10,279 --> 00:21:08,789 of you on the phone as well and for 496 00:21:12,740 --> 00:21:10,289 those joining in on Twitter we're going 497 00:21:17,029 --> 00:21:12,750 to have you ask your question first with 498 00:21:18,830 --> 00:21:17,039 hashtag ask Kepler we with the number of 499 00:21:20,539 --> 00:21:18,840 folks queued up to ask questions we're 500 00:21:22,010 --> 00:21:20,549 going to give everyone a chance to ask 501 00:21:23,930 --> 00:21:22,020 one question and a follow up and then if 502 00:21:28,220 --> 00:21:23,940 time permits we'll go back and start 503 00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:28,230 again our operator will identify you by 504 00:21:32,330 --> 00:21:29,850 name but if not please give your name 505 00:21:35,659 --> 00:21:32,340 your media affiliation and direct your 506 00:21:39,460 --> 00:21:35,669 question to a panelist if possible for 507 00:21:42,139 --> 00:21:39,470 those dialing in please push star 508 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:42,149 asterisk on your phone to get in the 509 00:21:47,779 --> 00:21:45,690 queue to ask a question and with that 510 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:47,789 we'll look for questions here in the 511 00:21:53,120 --> 00:21:51,570 audience first and we have a mic coming 512 00:21:56,029 --> 00:21:53,130 to you right now right behind you 513 00:21:59,810 --> 00:21:56,039 thank you rob reynolds from al jazeera 514 00:22:03,760 --> 00:21:59,820 english so if you could break it down 515 00:22:06,649 --> 00:22:03,770 for the layman's audience how many 516 00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:06,659 planets have you discovered in total and 517 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:09,330 how many of them are in this Goldilocks 518 00:22:21,310 --> 00:22:14,970 zone that that might support life and I 519 00:22:23,980 --> 00:22:21,320 have a follow-up question um excuse me 520 00:22:26,470 --> 00:22:23,990 with this sir your first question is how 521 00:22:30,460 --> 00:22:26,480 many we discovered in total yes Kepler 522 00:22:32,290 --> 00:22:30,470 is it has confirmed over 2300 planets 523 00:22:35,050 --> 00:22:32,300 and these are planets where there is no 524 00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:35,060 question at all that that signal is 525 00:22:39,550 --> 00:22:37,730 coming from an exoplanet when I'm 526 00:22:41,410 --> 00:22:39,560 presenting here today are candidates 527 00:22:44,110 --> 00:22:41,420 meaning there's still some room for 528 00:22:45,970 --> 00:22:44,120 doubt whether that signal is coming from 529 00:22:49,150 --> 00:22:45,980 a planet it could still be coming from 530 00:22:51,100 --> 00:22:49,160 other Astrophysical signals so this 531 00:22:52,780 --> 00:22:51,110 catalog though has four thousand and 532 00:22:55,570 --> 00:22:52,790 thirty four candidates and that's a 533 00:22:57,700 --> 00:22:55,580 pretty close number to the final Kepler 534 00:22:59,830 --> 00:22:57,710 candidates that will be found we may 535 00:23:01,600 --> 00:22:59,840 clean up a few more in the end and find 536 00:23:04,300 --> 00:23:01,610 a few more in the end but this catalog 537 00:23:06,130 --> 00:23:04,310 has four thousand and thirty four and in 538 00:23:08,020 --> 00:23:06,140 the Goldilocks zone we have 539 00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:08,030 approximately fifty that are in the 540 00:23:13,690 --> 00:23:11,570 Goldilocks zone my question is as I 541 00:23:17,170 --> 00:23:13,700 understand that Kepler is is focusing on 542 00:23:18,460 --> 00:23:17,180 a very small well that was fifty 543 00:23:21,310 --> 00:23:18,470 terrestrial sized planets in that 544 00:23:23,620 --> 00:23:21,320 Goldilocks zone rest chill sized planets 545 00:23:25,270 --> 00:23:23,630 that are in the right right so small 546 00:23:29,380 --> 00:23:25,280 planets that are in the Goldilocks zone 547 00:23:32,940 --> 00:23:29,390 we have more litter they're larger that 548 00:23:36,190 --> 00:23:32,950 the the the telescope is focusing on a 549 00:23:41,020 --> 00:23:36,200 relatively small area in the Cygnus 550 00:23:42,820 --> 00:23:41,030 formation right so based on that and 551 00:23:46,770 --> 00:23:42,830 whatever statistical analysis you've 552 00:23:51,510 --> 00:23:46,780 been able to do how common are the 553 00:23:54,610 --> 00:23:51,520 potentially rocky in the right zone 554 00:23:55,360 --> 00:23:54,620 habitable zone planets in our whole 555 00:23:59,110 --> 00:23:55,370 galaxy 556 00:24:01,750 --> 00:23:59,120 any ideas so we still haven't done that 557 00:24:04,120 --> 00:24:01,760 analysis on this specific catalog 558 00:24:05,890 --> 00:24:04,130 acording might want to address some of 559 00:24:06,790 --> 00:24:05,900 the other studies that have done been 560 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:06,800 done previously 561 00:24:11,940 --> 00:24:09,770 sure for M dwarfs which are small stars 562 00:24:14,230 --> 00:24:11,950 that make up 75% of stars in the galaxy 563 00:24:16,150 --> 00:24:14,240 we know that one out of every four of 564 00:24:19,740 --> 00:24:16,160 them has a planet that is small and is 565 00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:23,610 oh maybe it means that it's not crazy 566 00:24:27,780 --> 00:24:25,570 that we found a planet in the habitable 567 00:24:30,570 --> 00:24:27,790 zone of the closest star to the Sun so 568 00:24:32,010 --> 00:24:30,580 Proxima Centauri B has a small planet in 569 00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:32,020 the habitable zone at least we think 570 00:24:34,770 --> 00:24:33,490 it's small it does not transit so we do 571 00:24:36,210 --> 00:24:34,780 not know the size the planet for sure 572 00:24:46,550 --> 00:24:36,220 but the mass measurements consistent 573 00:24:53,790 --> 00:24:50,640 sorry to prolong my question-and-answer 574 00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:53,800 period but how close is close in terms 575 00:24:59,280 --> 00:24:56,410 of light-years just a couple just 576 00:25:01,620 --> 00:24:59,290 throughout the lore right next door and 577 00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:01,630 there could be life on it we'll have to 578 00:25:04,770 --> 00:25:03,490 find out it's something we could try to 579 00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:04,780 do with the next generation of 580 00:25:08,660 --> 00:25:08,050 ground-based large telescopes all right 581 00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:08,670 thank you 582 00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:10,810 we have another question here we'll 583 00:25:17,220 --> 00:25:14,410 bring a mic to you hi Allison Hawks from 584 00:25:18,990 --> 00:25:17,230 astrobiology magazine just want to know 585 00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:19,000 about tidally locked planets and if 586 00:25:22,170 --> 00:25:20,890 you've been able to understand a little 587 00:25:23,700 --> 00:25:22,180 bit about you know which of these 588 00:25:25,260 --> 00:25:23,710 terrestrial planets might be tightly 589 00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:25,270 locked and what the implications then 590 00:25:33,030 --> 00:25:30,450 are for habitability in those cases 591 00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:33,040 planets around low-mass stars tend to 592 00:25:35,940 --> 00:25:34,690 fall within the title locking radius 593 00:25:37,350 --> 00:25:35,950 because they're so close to the star you 594 00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:37,360 might expect them to be like the moon 595 00:25:41,010 --> 00:25:39,010 with one side always facing the star 596 00:25:42,390 --> 00:25:41,020 back in the day people thought that 597 00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:42,400 would be bad for life because the 598 00:25:45,540 --> 00:25:43,930 atmosphere could freeze out if one side 599 00:25:47,220 --> 00:25:45,550 of the planet was very cold more 600 00:25:48,570 --> 00:25:47,230 sophisticated three-dimensional models 601 00:25:50,070 --> 00:25:48,580 have revealed that if the planet has a 602 00:25:52,260 --> 00:25:50,080 bit of an atmosphere it probably would 603 00:25:54,120 --> 00:25:52,270 stay warm enough to remain hospitable to 604 00:25:55,770 --> 00:25:54,130 life and there's a chance then that you 605 00:25:57,270 --> 00:25:55,780 could have a bunch of civilizations 606 00:25:58,530 --> 00:25:57,280 where maybe all the astronomers live on 607 00:26:00,180 --> 00:25:58,540 one side of the planet and everyone else 608 00:26:04,620 --> 00:26:00,190 enjoys the Sun side on the beachy side 609 00:26:06,510 --> 00:26:04,630 close to the star all right let's take 610 00:26:10,860 --> 00:26:06,520 hope questions from the phone line 611 00:26:16,539 --> 00:26:14,009 The Associated Press your line is open 612 00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:16,549 yes thank you I have one question and 613 00:26:22,180 --> 00:26:19,010 then a follow-up let's look at these new 614 00:26:24,970 --> 00:26:22,190 planets the 219 new planet candidates 615 00:26:29,019 --> 00:26:24,980 and the ten roughly earth sized ones in 616 00:26:32,380 --> 00:26:29,029 the habitable zone am i right in hearing 617 00:26:33,820 --> 00:26:32,390 that those ten are in some ways 618 00:26:35,620 --> 00:26:33,830 different than many of the other ones 619 00:26:40,060 --> 00:26:35,630 because they're almost are most of them 620 00:26:42,730 --> 00:26:40,070 sort of uh more G Dwarfs like the Sun 621 00:26:45,730 --> 00:26:42,740 instead of the M dwarfs I mean in other 622 00:26:48,879 --> 00:26:45,740 words are these ten how many of them are 623 00:26:50,649 --> 00:26:48,889 are sort of more earth analog II and R 624 00:26:52,419 --> 00:26:50,659 does that make them more important and 625 00:26:56,350 --> 00:26:52,429 what does that mean and then I'll have a 626 00:26:59,620 --> 00:26:56,360 follow-up you're asking about the ten 627 00:27:01,570 --> 00:26:59,630 planets that are around the in the 628 00:27:05,139 --> 00:27:01,580 habitable zone and those that are near 629 00:27:07,330 --> 00:27:05,149 the that orbit a star similar to our Sun 630 00:27:09,549 --> 00:27:07,340 the thing about stars similar to our Sun 631 00:27:12,129 --> 00:27:09,559 they're not nearly as active as those 632 00:27:13,870 --> 00:27:12,139 that are around M dwarfs and Kortney 633 00:27:15,850 --> 00:27:13,880 probably could talk more about that and 634 00:27:18,430 --> 00:27:15,860 as a result you know we know that there 635 00:27:20,320 --> 00:27:18,440 is life on planets around G drawers we 636 00:27:23,350 --> 00:27:20,330 have it here and so that's partly why we 637 00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:23,360 focus in on looking for planets that are 638 00:27:29,590 --> 00:27:25,730 in the habitable zone of g-type stars or 639 00:27:32,049 --> 00:27:29,600 our sun-like stars sorry I to remember 640 00:27:33,610 --> 00:27:32,059 the rest of that question so so that is 641 00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:33,620 what's unique about those new ones that 642 00:27:37,509 --> 00:27:35,690 are found what is also unique is that I 643 00:27:40,120 --> 00:27:37,519 can tell you with high confidence that 644 00:27:42,940 --> 00:27:40,130 those are really signals and our data 645 00:27:45,730 --> 00:27:42,950 that they're truly Astrophysical unlike 646 00:27:46,950 --> 00:27:45,740 some of the other candidates we've 647 00:27:49,010 --> 00:27:46,960 released 648 00:27:52,519 --> 00:27:49,020 thank you 649 00:27:55,460 --> 00:27:52,529 did you have a follow-up yes okay and 650 00:27:57,950 --> 00:27:55,470 one of them is how many of those 10 RTG 651 00:28:01,039 --> 00:27:57,960 wars are they all and then what I know 652 00:28:02,659 --> 00:28:01,049 you haven't done the overall census 653 00:28:04,789 --> 00:28:02,669 demographic issue but that's sort of 654 00:28:08,330 --> 00:28:04,799 what Kepler was sold to the American 655 00:28:10,039 --> 00:28:08,340 public as as it is a demographic so can 656 00:28:11,950 --> 00:28:10,049 you give us I mean just looking at the 657 00:28:14,899 --> 00:28:11,960 math it looks like one out of eighty 658 00:28:16,789 --> 00:28:14,909 stars you know what out of eighty 659 00:28:19,820 --> 00:28:16,799 planets are in that you know beautiful 660 00:28:21,560 --> 00:28:19,830 small enough habitable zone is that 661 00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:21,570 about a good number and is there a 662 00:28:27,700 --> 00:28:23,490 better is there a number for G dwarfs 663 00:28:31,460 --> 00:28:27,710 Courtney gave us four endures thank you 664 00:28:34,220 --> 00:28:31,470 there is no official agreed-upon answer 665 00:28:36,380 --> 00:28:34,230 for terrestrial sized planets in the 666 00:28:37,820 --> 00:28:36,390 Goldilocks zone of G Dorf stars this is 667 00:28:39,289 --> 00:28:37,830 a question that scientists will be 668 00:28:42,380 --> 00:28:39,299 working on over the next couple of years 669 00:28:44,180 --> 00:28:42,390 especially using this catalog what your 670 00:28:46,340 --> 00:28:44,190 ask your first question was the number 671 00:28:49,190 --> 00:28:46,350 of the new terrestrial sized planets 672 00:28:52,310 --> 00:28:49,200 that are in around G Dwarfs I'd have to 673 00:28:55,279 --> 00:28:52,320 go back to that slide to count but there 674 00:28:56,750 --> 00:28:55,289 are total total of ten candidates in 675 00:28:59,659 --> 00:28:56,760 total around G drawers in this new 676 00:29:01,639 --> 00:28:59,669 catalogue if I remember correctly but 677 00:29:03,289 --> 00:29:01,649 Carney address that I'd like to chime in 678 00:29:05,060 --> 00:29:03,299 and say that the reason why I'm so 679 00:29:07,460 --> 00:29:05,070 excited about Susan's results is that 680 00:29:10,250 --> 00:29:07,470 this catalog because it was done in such 681 00:29:11,870 --> 00:29:10,260 a sophisticated methodical way really 682 00:29:13,669 --> 00:29:11,880 enables those studies of habitable zone 683 00:29:15,139 --> 00:29:13,679 planet occurrence for sun-like stars in 684 00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:15,149 the way that previous catalogs did not 685 00:29:18,740 --> 00:29:17,010 so this is a remarkable step forward and 686 00:29:19,850 --> 00:29:18,750 our understanding of the frequency of 687 00:29:21,799 --> 00:29:19,860 terrestrial planets in the habitable 688 00:29:26,149 --> 00:29:21,809 zones of sun-like stars playing the 689 00:29:27,860 --> 00:29:26,159 fundamental groundwork built a number of 690 00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:27,870 the ten I'd like someone to follow up 691 00:29:33,470 --> 00:29:30,570 with that so if I remember correctly I 692 00:29:35,539 --> 00:29:33,480 think this is Seth there's a little less 693 00:29:38,230 --> 00:29:35,549 than half of them that are around g-type 694 00:29:40,010 --> 00:29:38,240 stars less than half of those ten 695 00:29:43,310 --> 00:29:40,020 alright let's take the next question 696 00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:43,320 from the phone the next question is 697 00:29:49,950 --> 00:29:44,690 coming from 698 00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:49,960 besa Grossman of your line is open 699 00:29:55,560 --> 00:29:51,970 I thank you for taking that question 700 00:29:57,029 --> 00:29:55,570 this is for BJ I was wondering if you 701 00:29:59,419 --> 00:29:57,039 could talk a little bit more about how 702 00:30:02,450 --> 00:29:59,429 you know that the neptune-like planets 703 00:30:07,350 --> 00:30:02,460 probably don't have a surface and then 704 00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:07,360 what the possible message for formation 705 00:30:11,850 --> 00:30:08,890 for these planets are and if there's 706 00:30:13,470 --> 00:30:11,860 something about their early histories if 707 00:30:16,980 --> 00:30:13,480 we can tell anything about what makes a 708 00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:16,990 solar system produce an earth-like 709 00:30:23,220 --> 00:30:21,610 planet or a mini Neptune yeah so we we 710 00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:23,230 think that we can tell the difference 711 00:30:27,779 --> 00:30:25,210 between the rocky group and the the mini 712 00:30:30,029 --> 00:30:27,789 Neptune group based on a few other lines 713 00:30:32,190 --> 00:30:30,039 of evidence in addition to the work we 714 00:30:33,810 --> 00:30:32,200 did if you look at planets that are 715 00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:33,820 orbiting very very close to their host 716 00:30:38,370 --> 00:30:35,890 stars with orbital periods less than 717 00:30:39,990 --> 00:30:38,380 about one day those things could not 718 00:30:41,519 --> 00:30:40,000 have any atmospheres at all they must 719 00:30:43,110 --> 00:30:41,529 have been blasted away and we can see 720 00:30:45,750 --> 00:30:43,120 that those planets get no larger than 721 00:30:48,060 --> 00:30:45,760 about one point seven if you go and 722 00:30:50,370 --> 00:30:48,070 measure the masses of a lot of planets 723 00:30:52,740 --> 00:30:50,380 in the Kepler field you can see that 724 00:30:53,880 --> 00:30:52,750 typically planets larger than about 1.6 725 00:30:56,010 --> 00:30:53,890 times the radius of Earth are 726 00:30:57,450 --> 00:30:56,020 low-density neptune-like planets and 727 00:31:00,269 --> 00:30:57,460 planets smaller than that or 728 00:31:01,799 --> 00:31:00,279 high-density and then with this gap is 729 00:31:03,870 --> 00:31:01,809 just another line of evidence that 730 00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:03,880 supports this idea that you have these 731 00:31:08,430 --> 00:31:07,210 two different groups of planets because 732 00:31:12,029 --> 00:31:08,440 I'm sorry could you repeat that a second 733 00:31:14,639 --> 00:31:12,039 part your question sure it was about how 734 00:31:16,470 --> 00:31:14,649 these planets develop and if there's a 735 00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:16,480 way to tell which stars are likely to 736 00:31:20,220 --> 00:31:18,010 produce Neptune's and which ones are 737 00:31:22,049 --> 00:31:20,230 likely to produce the Earth's or if we 738 00:31:25,350 --> 00:31:22,059 know anything about the condition lead 739 00:31:29,580 --> 00:31:25,360 to one or the other right so we don't 740 00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:29,590 really know but our best idea is that we 741 00:31:33,779 --> 00:31:31,570 we had a population of planets that all 742 00:31:35,970 --> 00:31:33,789 start with somewhere between one and ten 743 00:31:38,669 --> 00:31:35,980 percent of hydrogen helium gases so they 744 00:31:40,850 --> 00:31:38,679 form they all sort of have a range of 745 00:31:43,830 --> 00:31:40,860 various core sizes and a range of 746 00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:43,840 atmospheric sizes then when these 747 00:31:47,159 --> 00:31:45,490 planets and the ones that I'm studying 748 00:31:48,570 --> 00:31:47,169 are all orbiting relatively close to 749 00:31:51,029 --> 00:31:48,580 their star with orbital period shorter 750 00:31:52,260 --> 00:31:51,039 than 100 days and we think when those 751 00:31:53,970 --> 00:31:52,270 are exposed to the stellar radiation 752 00:31:56,039 --> 00:31:53,980 when you have this this continuous 753 00:31:59,010 --> 00:31:56,049 population and you expose it to that 754 00:32:00,960 --> 00:31:59,020 radiation over many years that tends to 755 00:32:03,090 --> 00:32:00,970 separate them into these two classes the 756 00:32:04,710 --> 00:32:03,100 ones that started a little bit larger or 757 00:32:06,060 --> 00:32:04,720 we'll hang on to their atmospheres and 758 00:32:07,260 --> 00:32:06,070 they're the ones to end up as many 759 00:32:09,450 --> 00:32:07,270 Neptune's and the ones that start a 760 00:32:11,669 --> 00:32:09,460 little bit smaller and/or had a little 761 00:32:13,169 --> 00:32:11,679 bit less hydrogen helium to start with 762 00:32:17,340 --> 00:32:13,179 end up in the small rocky planets 763 00:32:19,950 --> 00:32:17,350 because their atmospheres get lost thank 764 00:32:23,039 --> 00:32:19,960 you great we have another question on 765 00:32:24,260 --> 00:32:23,049 line we would fo nice calm your line is 766 00:32:28,140 --> 00:32:24,270 open 767 00:32:30,029 --> 00:32:28,150 hi so this is a final catalog from the 768 00:32:31,860 --> 00:32:30,039 first Kepler mission but what can data 769 00:32:33,270 --> 00:32:31,870 you've been getting from the k2 mission 770 00:32:38,190 --> 00:32:33,280 which looks at other parts of the sky 771 00:32:39,659 --> 00:32:38,200 bring to these statistics I'm part of a 772 00:32:41,460 --> 00:32:39,669 team that's currently trying to do that 773 00:32:42,870 --> 00:32:41,470 to use the k2 catalog to measure the 774 00:32:44,250 --> 00:32:42,880 frequencies of planets of different 775 00:32:46,260 --> 00:32:44,260 types and one of the great things about 776 00:32:47,970 --> 00:32:46,270 the k2 catalog is that because it's 777 00:32:50,130 --> 00:32:47,980 covering a wide range of the sky and 778 00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:50,140 includes many clusters of various ages 779 00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:51,250 so you could study plant information 780 00:32:55,230 --> 00:32:53,650 through time and it includes many stars 781 00:32:56,909 --> 00:32:55,240 with different metallicity Zoar iron 782 00:32:59,100 --> 00:32:56,919 content so you can study the role of 783 00:33:00,960 --> 00:32:59,110 different initial starting conditions on 784 00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:00,970 the planet properties and it also 785 00:33:05,220 --> 00:33:03,610 contains many more low mass stars in the 786 00:33:06,870 --> 00:33:05,230 main Kepler mission and because I'm very 787 00:33:09,149 --> 00:33:06,880 interested in low mass stars I'm quite 788 00:33:11,310 --> 00:33:09,159 excited in what k2 can tell us about the 789 00:33:14,340 --> 00:33:11,320 frequency of planets at the small end of 790 00:33:17,010 --> 00:33:14,350 the stellar mass spectrum I'll just 791 00:33:19,020 --> 00:33:17,020 added k2 not only gives you a much more 792 00:33:20,730 --> 00:33:19,030 of a variety of different stellar types 793 00:33:22,560 --> 00:33:20,740 but it also gets to probe different 794 00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:22,570 regions of the galaxy so we could 795 00:33:26,279 --> 00:33:24,970 potentially see if the statistics that 796 00:33:28,020 --> 00:33:26,289 we're learning about the kepler field 797 00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:28,030 are different in the different parts of 798 00:33:36,539 --> 00:33:33,610 the galaxy alright we have one more 799 00:33:38,789 --> 00:33:36,549 question on the line Oh a next question 800 00:33:40,130 --> 00:33:38,799 is coming from Irene Klotz up Reuters 801 00:33:42,810 --> 00:33:40,140 your line is open 802 00:33:44,399 --> 00:33:42,820 thanks very much I have two quick 803 00:33:46,350 --> 00:33:44,409 questions and then probably a little 804 00:33:48,899 --> 00:33:46,360 longer one first one I just wanted to 805 00:33:53,909 --> 00:33:48,909 make sure that when you said initially 806 00:33:58,169 --> 00:33:53,919 that the just these data completes the 807 00:34:00,450 --> 00:33:58,179 Kepler candidate list just to 808 00:34:02,789 --> 00:34:00,460 double-check that that is not going to 809 00:34:04,970 --> 00:34:02,799 include any other data coming from k2 810 00:34:08,190 --> 00:34:04,980 you're treating these as separate 811 00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:08,200 missions and this data will complete the 812 00:34:13,139 --> 00:34:10,330 Kepler original mission and then the 813 00:34:15,669 --> 00:34:13,149 second quick one is about for BJ are 814 00:34:17,799 --> 00:34:15,679 there any proposed name 815 00:34:20,740 --> 00:34:17,809 for these classifications of planets 816 00:34:23,079 --> 00:34:20,750 besides earth-like or mini Neptune and 817 00:34:26,079 --> 00:34:23,089 then I have one other one I think my 818 00:34:28,270 --> 00:34:26,089 answers short I yes this is the last of 819 00:34:30,819 --> 00:34:28,280 the catalogs for k2 are completely 820 00:34:33,339 --> 00:34:30,829 separate from Kepler and so this is the 821 00:34:35,319 --> 00:34:33,349 last time we were searching the data for 822 00:34:39,220 --> 00:34:35,329 candidates from the Kepler come from the 823 00:34:40,990 --> 00:34:39,230 original Kepler mission as far as the 824 00:34:42,940 --> 00:34:41,000 names yeah we've been going with many 825 00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:42,950 earths and our mini Neptune z-- and 826 00:34:47,169 --> 00:34:45,770 super Earths lately we had thought they 827 00:34:48,730 --> 00:34:47,179 were sort of all super Earths and it was 828 00:34:50,950 --> 00:34:48,740 difficult to determine which ones may 829 00:34:53,379 --> 00:34:50,960 have gassen and which ones might have 830 00:34:55,990 --> 00:34:53,389 rocky surfaces but now we have a clear 831 00:34:57,910 --> 00:34:56,000 distinction between the two thanks and 832 00:35:01,630 --> 00:34:57,920 I'm also either for you Vijay or for 833 00:35:04,450 --> 00:35:01,640 Courtney why do you think that our solar 834 00:35:08,049 --> 00:35:04,460 system does not have any mini Neptune 835 00:35:14,319 --> 00:35:08,059 and is there any reason to think that it 836 00:35:15,190 --> 00:35:14,329 might have at one time that's a good 837 00:35:16,900 --> 00:35:15,200 question 838 00:35:18,430 --> 00:35:16,910 it is interesting that we don't have 839 00:35:20,710 --> 00:35:18,440 what appears to be the most common type 840 00:35:23,319 --> 00:35:20,720 of planet in the galaxy although you may 841 00:35:25,089 --> 00:35:23,329 have heard about recent result of this 842 00:35:27,460 --> 00:35:25,099 potential planet that's far out in the 843 00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:27,470 outer reaches of the solar system called 844 00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:30,650 planet 9 that one is potentially one of 845 00:35:36,730 --> 00:35:32,450 these the super Earths or mini Neptune's 846 00:35:38,620 --> 00:35:36,740 so it may answer that question planet 9 847 00:35:40,089 --> 00:35:38,630 isn't yet confirmed correct no that's 848 00:35:41,140 --> 00:35:40,099 not yet confirmed but all right people 849 00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:41,150 right across the hall from me are 850 00:35:44,309 --> 00:35:43,130 working hard to do just that very good 851 00:35:46,690 --> 00:35:44,319 very good 852 00:35:47,890 --> 00:35:46,700 all right I just want to remind folks in 853 00:35:50,490 --> 00:35:47,900 the live audience here if you have a 854 00:35:53,049 --> 00:35:50,500 question we'll bring a microphone to you 855 00:35:54,039 --> 00:35:53,059 and while we're doing that we will go 856 00:35:56,740 --> 00:35:54,049 back to the phone we have one more 857 00:35:58,530 --> 00:35:56,750 question as a board seen The Associated 858 00:36:03,130 --> 00:35:58,540 Press your line is open 859 00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:03,140 yes just two follow-ups one in you guys 860 00:36:11,470 --> 00:36:07,970 said 50 a round 50 habitable zones 861 00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:11,480 smaller total in the in they or roughly 862 00:36:18,579 --> 00:36:15,170 50 in the total isn't there an exact 863 00:36:20,829 --> 00:36:18,589 number I mean roughly could be 45 and or 864 00:36:22,780 --> 00:36:20,839 55 don't you have an exact number and 865 00:36:23,380 --> 00:36:22,790 second just to put this all in 866 00:36:25,630 --> 00:36:23,390 perspective 867 00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:25,640 Kepler's looked at a small part of the 868 00:36:29,460 --> 00:36:27,530 galaxy and distant part of the galaxy 869 00:36:31,650 --> 00:36:29,470 can you help us to 870 00:36:33,270 --> 00:36:31,660 you know look at even the bigger picture 871 00:36:36,060 --> 00:36:33,280 like saying cat you're looking at maybe 872 00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:36,070 one one-thousandth of the galaxy so if 873 00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:38,410 we wanted to take a get a get good sense 874 00:36:45,420 --> 00:36:40,810 of the rest of the galaxy multiply it by 875 00:36:48,720 --> 00:36:45,430 what in other words thank you so I'll 876 00:36:52,170 --> 00:36:48,730 just the first question we found we have 877 00:36:54,210 --> 00:36:52,180 50 hi confident we have 49 actually high 878 00:36:56,580 --> 00:36:54,220 confidence planet candidates in the 879 00:37:00,089 --> 00:36:56,590 hallouwe zone that are less than 1.8 880 00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:00,099 Earth radii the catalog actually goes a 881 00:37:04,770 --> 00:37:03,130 bit deeper but these candidates start to 882 00:37:07,050 --> 00:37:04,780 become a little less reliable so we 883 00:37:09,150 --> 00:37:07,060 didn't want to present them here so you 884 00:37:11,730 --> 00:37:09,160 wouldn't see them as because they're not 885 00:37:16,170 --> 00:37:11,740 as confirmed or as validated as those 886 00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:16,180 others are so I would go the number it's 887 00:37:20,550 --> 00:37:18,010 49 that we showed on that plot that you 888 00:37:24,260 --> 00:37:20,560 were looking at in terms of the fraction 889 00:37:27,170 --> 00:37:24,270 when do you have a better idea that math 890 00:37:30,510 --> 00:37:27,180 square degrees rates 100 square degrees 891 00:37:35,310 --> 00:37:30,520 so 200,000 stars is all we actually 892 00:37:38,339 --> 00:37:35,320 looked at though okay can I answer that 893 00:37:40,829 --> 00:37:38,349 not the kepler field and sub 894 00:37:45,240 --> 00:37:40,839 approximately 115 degrees square and 895 00:37:48,089 --> 00:37:45,250 that's about 0.25 percent of the sky so 896 00:37:50,070 --> 00:37:48,099 in fact you need 400 Kepler's to cover 897 00:37:53,240 --> 00:37:50,080 the whole sky so that's the question 898 00:37:56,760 --> 00:37:53,250 that if we if we assume the statistic 899 00:37:59,940 --> 00:37:56,770 the signals field and all the field that 900 00:38:04,290 --> 00:37:59,950 K to observe our median and we can 901 00:38:08,270 --> 00:38:04,300 multiply 4 by 400 to get a sense of what 902 00:38:10,290 --> 00:38:08,280 the whole universe or galaxies around 903 00:38:12,780 --> 00:38:10,300 part of the galaxies are we observing 904 00:38:16,370 --> 00:38:12,790 but we haven't done that this is very 905 00:38:20,849 --> 00:38:16,380 recent information that was released 906 00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:20,859 this morning so I'm sure there will be a 907 00:38:24,570 --> 00:38:22,570 lot of people that will study the planet 908 00:38:26,160 --> 00:38:24,580 demographic based on with the 909 00:38:29,400 --> 00:38:26,170 information on this catalog in the 910 00:38:30,660 --> 00:38:29,410 future look at the results the 911 00:38:32,730 --> 00:38:30,670 transiting exoplanet survey satellite 912 00:38:34,740 --> 00:38:32,740 mission which will cover almost the full 913 00:38:37,050 --> 00:38:34,750 sky that has four cameras each of which 914 00:38:39,030 --> 00:38:37,060 has a field of view 27 by 27 degrees 915 00:38:40,339 --> 00:38:39,040 most those stars will only be observed 916 00:38:41,809 --> 00:38:40,349 for 27 days 917 00:38:43,729 --> 00:38:41,819 but some of them will be observed for up 918 00:38:45,469 --> 00:38:43,739 to almost a full year so we can then 919 00:38:47,029 --> 00:38:45,479 cross compare what we see with tests for 920 00:38:49,190 --> 00:38:47,039 short period with planets with what we 921 00:38:50,989 --> 00:38:49,200 see from Kepler and really check to see 922 00:38:53,989 --> 00:38:50,999 how planet properties vary across the 923 00:38:55,969 --> 00:38:53,999 full sky I'll just add that one problem 924 00:38:57,440 --> 00:38:55,979 with with sticking to a real strict 925 00:38:58,910 --> 00:38:57,450 number of the number of planets in the 926 00:39:00,979 --> 00:38:58,920 habitable zone is that these boundaries 927 00:39:02,989 --> 00:39:00,989 are all very fuzzy the actual boundaries 928 00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:02,999 of the habitable zone at the inner and 929 00:39:07,849 --> 00:39:05,970 outer edge are not that well-known and 930 00:39:10,190 --> 00:39:07,859 even if they are very well known there's 931 00:39:13,339 --> 00:39:10,200 a range it's it's not a sharp boundary 932 00:39:15,999 --> 00:39:13,349 it's fuzzy and in terms of multiplying 933 00:39:18,799 --> 00:39:16,009 that out to the galaxy those 50 are 934 00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:18,809 transiting planets right and and there's 935 00:39:23,180 --> 00:39:20,729 a big difference in transiting and 936 00:39:24,710 --> 00:39:23,190 actual of the intrinsic population right 937 00:39:25,789 --> 00:39:24,720 for a planet like the earth and the 938 00:39:28,039 --> 00:39:25,799 habitable zone of a star like the Sun 939 00:39:31,789 --> 00:39:28,049 there's only one chance and 200 that 940 00:39:33,319 --> 00:39:31,799 that planet would appear to transit okay 941 00:39:35,870 --> 00:39:33,329 all right we have a couple more 942 00:39:38,210 --> 00:39:35,880 questions on on the phone the next 943 00:39:39,849 --> 00:39:38,220 question is coming from Tracy Watson USA 944 00:39:43,099 --> 00:39:39,859 Today your line is open 945 00:39:45,140 --> 00:39:43,109 thank you I wanted to ask about ky7 946 00:39:47,630 --> 00:39:45,150 seven-11 if I've got that number right 947 00:39:48,620 --> 00:39:47,640 because you said it said right next it 948 00:39:49,910 --> 00:39:48,630 was used about the same amount of 949 00:39:52,910 --> 00:39:49,920 insulation it serves and at one point 950 00:39:55,249 --> 00:39:52,920 303 died can you put that into context 951 00:39:57,609 --> 00:39:55,259 for me how does that rank it then in 952 00:39:59,900 --> 00:39:57,619 terms of Earth twins this is now the 953 00:40:03,200 --> 00:39:59,910 closest I can't remember the statistics 954 00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:03,210 and the second question is about the 955 00:40:09,289 --> 00:40:06,210 kind of two flavors of planets is there 956 00:40:12,589 --> 00:40:09,299 any reason to think that that these two 957 00:40:14,299 --> 00:40:12,599 flavors are different in other parts of 958 00:40:17,469 --> 00:40:14,309 the universe or will this will apply 959 00:40:22,999 --> 00:40:17,479 elsewhere Thanks 960 00:40:25,489 --> 00:40:23,009 so 77 11 is the closest to the earth in 961 00:40:28,039 --> 00:40:25,499 terms of our current measurements of its 962 00:40:29,450 --> 00:40:28,049 size and how far away it is from our 963 00:40:31,160 --> 00:40:29,460 star and so as a result it gets 964 00:40:33,349 --> 00:40:31,170 approximately the same amount of heat 965 00:40:35,239 --> 00:40:33,359 that we get from our own star however 966 00:40:38,450 --> 00:40:35,249 there's a lot we don't know about this 967 00:40:40,219 --> 00:40:38,460 planet and as a result it's hard to say 968 00:40:42,229 --> 00:40:40,229 whether it's really an earth twin we 969 00:40:44,059 --> 00:40:42,239 need to know more about its atmosphere 970 00:40:46,099 --> 00:40:44,069 whether there's water on the planet I 971 00:40:47,900 --> 00:40:46,109 always like to remind people that it 972 00:40:48,650 --> 00:40:47,910 looks like there's three planets in our 973 00:40:50,900 --> 00:40:48,660 howls 974 00:40:54,860 --> 00:40:50,910 Venus Earth and Mars and I'd only really 975 00:40:56,900 --> 00:40:54,870 want to live on one of them and just to 976 00:40:58,760 --> 00:40:56,910 clarify Kepler can identify what 977 00:41:01,550 --> 00:40:58,770 properties of the of a planet we 978 00:41:03,980 --> 00:41:01,560 directly measure the size of the planet 979 00:41:05,990 --> 00:41:03,990 and how far away it is from the star so 980 00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:06,000 we don't know if it's habitable so we do 981 00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:08,370 not know if it's habitable all right we 982 00:41:12,500 --> 00:41:09,570 have a couple more questions on the line 983 00:41:15,950 --> 00:41:12,510 let's go there the next question is 984 00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:15,960 coming from it now greenfield voice NPR 985 00:41:19,130 --> 00:41:17,010 your line is open 986 00:41:21,950 --> 00:41:19,140 oh hey thanks for doing this just to 987 00:41:23,810 --> 00:41:21,960 confirm so I'll take the roughly 50 988 00:41:25,820 --> 00:41:23,820 number but I just want to make sure that 989 00:41:28,670 --> 00:41:25,830 the ten you're announcing today are in 990 00:41:30,920 --> 00:41:28,680 that number so it's not roughly 50 we 991 00:41:32,930 --> 00:41:30,930 knew about in terms of candidates in the 992 00:41:36,650 --> 00:41:32,940 habitable zone and the small potentially 993 00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:36,660 rocky size it's more like you know now 994 00:41:42,500 --> 00:41:39,330 in total we have 50 which includes these 995 00:41:43,850 --> 00:41:42,510 ten that you are announcing today and 996 00:41:47,030 --> 00:41:43,860 the other question I had is so if this 997 00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:47,040 is the final batch of data from Kepler's 998 00:41:51,410 --> 00:41:48,930 original mission I mean how are you guys 999 00:41:52,850 --> 00:41:51,420 feeling now do you feel sad like I guess 1000 00:41:55,550 --> 00:41:52,860 we've all gotten kind of used to these 1001 00:41:57,650 --> 00:41:55,560 big you know downloads of you know dumps 1002 00:41:59,420 --> 00:41:57,660 of potential planets where you know 200 1003 00:42:01,970 --> 00:41:59,430 potential planets just isn't really a 1004 00:42:04,220 --> 00:42:01,980 big deal anymore I mean is this like 1005 00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:04,230 kind of the end of an era for planetary 1006 00:42:08,090 --> 00:42:06,570 hunters or what do you think about that 1007 00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:08,100 since this is going to be the last one 1008 00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:10,890 from the original mission thing so 1009 00:42:16,790 --> 00:42:14,610 that's your first question the 10r part 1010 00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:16,800 our subset of that 50 that we're talking 1011 00:42:23,180 --> 00:42:19,410 about so we found 10 new ones and that 1012 00:42:25,070 --> 00:42:23,190 makes up the 50 as part of that 50 yeah 1013 00:42:26,900 --> 00:42:25,080 feels a bit like the end of an era but 1014 00:42:29,480 --> 00:42:26,910 actually I see it as a new beginning 1015 00:42:31,730 --> 00:42:29,490 it's amazing the things that Kepler has 1016 00:42:33,470 --> 00:42:31,740 found and we it has shown us these 1017 00:42:35,690 --> 00:42:33,480 terrestrial worlds and we still have all 1018 00:42:38,330 --> 00:42:35,700 this work to do to really understand how 1019 00:42:40,220 --> 00:42:38,340 common earths are in the galaxy so I'm 1020 00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:40,230 really excited to see what people are 1021 00:42:43,670 --> 00:42:42,450 going to do with this catalog because 1022 00:42:45,230 --> 00:42:43,680 this is the first time we have a 1023 00:42:46,970 --> 00:42:45,240 population that is really well 1024 00:42:48,800 --> 00:42:46,980 characterized and we can now do these 1025 00:42:54,620 --> 00:42:48,810 statistical studies and really start to 1026 00:43:00,570 --> 00:42:57,930 thank you the next question is coming 1027 00:43:01,670 --> 00:43:00,580 from a Lisa Grossman science news your 1028 00:43:04,200 --> 00:43:01,680 line is open 1029 00:43:06,240 --> 00:43:04,210 hi thanks for ticketing another question 1030 00:43:09,020 --> 00:43:06,250 from me so I just wanted to follow up a 1031 00:43:11,130 --> 00:43:09,030 little bit on Steph's first question so 1032 00:43:12,630 --> 00:43:11,140 Kepler's chief mission was to get a 1033 00:43:14,910 --> 00:43:12,640 number for this fraction of sun-like 1034 00:43:16,560 --> 00:43:14,920 stars at first light planet and you're 1035 00:43:19,080 --> 00:43:16,570 not releasing a number like that today 1036 00:43:20,940 --> 00:43:19,090 but you are releasing the final catalog 1037 00:43:24,290 --> 00:43:20,950 here's all the planets were ever going 1038 00:43:27,210 --> 00:43:24,300 to expect from Kepler is that enough to 1039 00:43:29,040 --> 00:43:27,220 to get that data earth number is that 1040 00:43:32,940 --> 00:43:29,050 going to get us there or is there more 1041 00:43:37,770 --> 00:43:32,950 that we need to do and why are you not 1042 00:43:39,240 --> 00:43:37,780 presenting any number for the fraction 1043 00:43:42,270 --> 00:43:39,250 of sun-like stars that the host 1044 00:43:44,070 --> 00:43:42,280 earth-like planet today that's a great 1045 00:43:47,250 --> 00:43:44,080 question to address the importance of 1046 00:43:50,250 --> 00:43:47,260 this catalog I've already forgot the 1047 00:43:52,620 --> 00:43:50,260 beginning question oh yes oh yes we 1048 00:43:55,140 --> 00:43:52,630 absolutely have enough to do those 1049 00:43:57,330 --> 00:43:55,150 studies we have a population of high 1050 00:43:59,940 --> 00:43:57,340 confidence planets that are terrestrial 1051 00:44:02,850 --> 00:43:59,950 sized and in the habitable zone of 1052 00:44:04,590 --> 00:44:02,860 sun-like stars the reason we haven't 1053 00:44:07,320 --> 00:44:04,600 done this is this analysis is very 1054 00:44:09,600 --> 00:44:07,330 complicated and there's a lot of pieces 1055 00:44:12,480 --> 00:44:09,610 that go into it but at least we now have 1056 00:44:14,250 --> 00:44:12,490 all of those pieces and scientists will 1057 00:44:16,710 --> 00:44:14,260 spend the next year talking about how to 1058 00:44:22,020 --> 00:44:16,720 get to the most accurate number and the 1059 00:44:23,430 --> 00:44:22,030 best way to go about it right let's go 1060 00:44:29,540 --> 00:44:23,440 to a question here we have them in the 1061 00:44:33,330 --> 00:44:29,550 live audience did you find anything 1062 00:44:36,450 --> 00:44:33,340 anomalous when you were looking through 1063 00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:36,460 through all of these all this data there 1064 00:44:41,970 --> 00:44:38,890 was some talk I don't know several 1065 00:44:45,300 --> 00:44:41,980 months to a year ago about a potential 1066 00:44:46,770 --> 00:44:45,310 giant artifact in space did you did you 1067 00:44:51,089 --> 00:44:46,780 see anything that you can't quite 1068 00:44:55,349 --> 00:44:52,979 could you clarify a little bit which 1069 00:44:58,229 --> 00:44:55,359 would well I there was a well-known news 1070 00:44:58,559 --> 00:44:58,239 story that came out I think about a year 1071 00:45:05,870 --> 00:44:58,569 ago 1072 00:45:10,079 --> 00:45:05,880 and the the what the big sail the 1073 00:45:12,839 --> 00:45:10,089 sailing alien uh superstructure yeah 1074 00:45:15,870 --> 00:45:12,849 that's it thank you yeah 1075 00:45:19,229 --> 00:45:15,880 so without specific regard to that or 1076 00:45:21,420 --> 00:45:19,239 were there anything well did you find 1077 00:45:24,989 --> 00:45:21,430 anything out there in the vastness of 1078 00:45:27,839 --> 00:45:24,999 space that you can't account for 1079 00:45:33,299 --> 00:45:27,849 according to what we know in science 1080 00:45:34,950 --> 00:45:33,309 today the the light curves from Kepler 1081 00:45:37,079 --> 00:45:34,960 are truly unique the way we did the 1082 00:45:39,809 --> 00:45:37,089 search means that we really just find 1083 00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:39,819 things that are similar to planets and 1084 00:45:43,739 --> 00:45:42,130 so this catalog itself I didn't find 1085 00:45:45,839 --> 00:45:43,749 anything where I just absolutely could 1086 00:45:49,349 --> 00:45:45,849 not explain what I was looking at but 1087 00:45:51,509 --> 00:45:49,359 that said other people have mined the 1088 00:45:53,279 --> 00:45:51,519 Kepler light curves looking for other 1089 00:45:56,749 --> 00:45:53,289 interesting things and that's how they 1090 00:46:00,299 --> 00:45:56,759 found that that star with the large 1091 00:46:02,190 --> 00:46:00,309 changes in brightness that happened and 1092 00:46:04,680 --> 00:46:02,200 they're continuing to observe that to 1093 00:46:06,569 --> 00:46:04,690 figure out what kind of star that is I 1094 00:46:08,160 --> 00:46:06,579 think I just saw on Twitter that it's 1095 00:46:14,489 --> 00:46:08,170 decreased in brightness again by about 1096 00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:14,499 two percent as far as I know no thank 1097 00:46:21,660 --> 00:46:19,260 great well we have a number of questions 1098 00:46:23,790 --> 00:46:21,670 also come in through social media and on 1099 00:46:25,590 --> 00:46:23,800 Twitter so we'll go there take a couple 1100 00:46:29,280 --> 00:46:25,600 questions the first ones come first one 1101 00:46:31,080 --> 00:46:29,290 comes from Doug for far worlds are there 1102 00:46:32,670 --> 00:46:31,090 any Kepler candidates to be announced 1103 00:46:35,280 --> 00:46:32,680 today or otherwise that are circumbinary 1104 00:46:38,210 --> 00:46:35,290 terrestrial planets now maybe we could 1105 00:46:41,970 --> 00:46:38,220 answer what a circumbinary planet is 1106 00:46:45,540 --> 00:46:41,980 start off Kepler did find a about a 1107 00:46:48,120 --> 00:46:45,550 dozen I believe planets that go around a 1108 00:46:49,380 --> 00:46:48,130 binary system so there's two stars going 1109 00:46:52,620 --> 00:46:49,390 around each other and then there's 1110 00:46:55,080 --> 00:46:52,630 planets going around those those binary 1111 00:46:56,910 --> 00:46:55,090 system because of the way this catalog 1112 00:47:02,970 --> 00:46:56,920 was created we are not set up to find 1113 00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:02,980 those very interesting systems you said 1114 00:47:07,220 --> 00:47:04,330 there's about 12 that we found so I 1115 00:47:09,270 --> 00:47:07,230 believe that's the number today alright 1116 00:47:13,220 --> 00:47:09,280 let's take another question here from 1117 00:47:16,680 --> 00:47:13,230 social media this comes from at TSA 1118 00:47:20,100 --> 00:47:16,690 mulato how long do you estimate Kepler 1119 00:47:23,370 --> 00:47:20,110 to remain upright or in orbit and would 1120 00:47:25,680 --> 00:47:23,380 it live would it live till test launches 1121 00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:25,690 and its science mission starts maybe 1122 00:47:30,180 --> 00:47:28,450 that's why I'm tamari oh yeah yes now as 1123 00:47:32,250 --> 00:47:30,190 we mention here 1124 00:47:34,560 --> 00:47:32,260 Kepler is still taking data and we're on 1125 00:47:37,230 --> 00:47:34,570 the k2 mission which is a secondary 1126 00:47:40,110 --> 00:47:37,240 mission which we have been doing for the 1127 00:47:42,930 --> 00:47:40,120 last four years this mission can only 1128 00:47:46,970 --> 00:47:42,940 observe for about 80 days determine feel 1129 00:47:51,470 --> 00:47:46,980 around the ecliptic plane of the galaxy 1130 00:47:55,800 --> 00:47:51,480 we expect to have for sure fuel until 1131 00:47:58,170 --> 00:47:55,810 our campaigns our campaign number 16 we 1132 00:48:00,810 --> 00:47:58,180 are in campaign number 14 right now so 1133 00:48:04,170 --> 00:48:00,820 and about the end of this year starting 1134 00:48:06,150 --> 00:48:04,180 next year we'll start campaign 17 which 1135 00:48:08,640 --> 00:48:06,160 we don't know if the fuel the fuel is 1136 00:48:11,700 --> 00:48:08,650 the main limitation that we have will 1137 00:48:14,040 --> 00:48:11,710 with Kepler it's very hard to measure 1138 00:48:16,350 --> 00:48:14,050 the fuel in space and for that reason it 1139 00:48:20,450 --> 00:48:16,360 being done indirectly but respect to 1140 00:48:25,320 --> 00:48:20,460 still be observing during the year 19 1141 00:48:29,160 --> 00:48:25,330 impossibly even beyond that now test is 1142 00:48:30,450 --> 00:48:29,170 going to start flying next year in 2018 1143 00:48:34,640 --> 00:48:30,460 if possible they overlap 1144 00:48:37,200 --> 00:48:34,650 however I think the overlap is only 1145 00:48:40,770 --> 00:48:37,210 nominal there's not really significance 1146 00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:40,780 the since Kepler still will keep 1147 00:48:46,349 --> 00:48:42,970 observing a small piece of the sky 1148 00:48:49,589 --> 00:48:46,359 around the Galactic plane and Kepler 1149 00:48:52,380 --> 00:48:49,599 will press or in test will do all Sky 1150 00:48:54,930 --> 00:48:52,390 Survey both of the northern sky and the 1151 00:48:57,570 --> 00:48:54,940 southern skies in the first two year of 1152 00:49:00,630 --> 00:48:57,580 test will be done one year doing the 1153 00:49:03,540 --> 00:49:00,640 southern sky and the next year be doing 1154 00:49:05,880 --> 00:49:03,550 the northern sky and later will be 1155 00:49:08,010 --> 00:49:05,890 pointed observations so test will be 1156 00:49:10,560 --> 00:49:08,020 doing a completely different mission and 1157 00:49:13,530 --> 00:49:10,570 will the target target population of 1158 00:49:15,780 --> 00:49:13,540 tasks will be mostly nearby and very 1159 00:49:18,990 --> 00:49:15,790 bright star which different from what 1160 00:49:22,290 --> 00:49:19,000 Kepler has been doing even during the k2 1161 00:49:24,960 --> 00:49:22,300 mission alright thank you here's another 1162 00:49:28,770 --> 00:49:24,970 question from social media from at 1163 00:49:30,980 --> 00:49:28,780 playtime with tests just to confirm we 1164 00:49:33,930 --> 00:49:30,990 can only see planets whose solar systems 1165 00:49:36,120 --> 00:49:33,940 elliptical plane is aligned towards our 1166 00:49:38,460 --> 00:49:36,130 planet now what do you want to take that 1167 00:49:41,070 --> 00:49:38,470 just distinguish between the transiting 1168 00:49:42,720 --> 00:49:41,080 worlds in that's for this particular 1169 00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:42,730 method of detection where the planet 1170 00:49:45,990 --> 00:49:44,410 passes between us and the star but there 1171 00:49:47,670 --> 00:49:46,000 are other detection methods for instance 1172 00:49:48,780 --> 00:49:47,680 the radio velocity method that are 1173 00:49:50,760 --> 00:49:48,790 sensitive to planets that are in 1174 00:49:52,200 --> 00:49:50,770 different orientations so we're able to 1175 00:49:54,030 --> 00:49:52,210 piece together results from different 1176 00:49:55,650 --> 00:49:54,040 types of Planet detection methods in 1177 00:49:59,250 --> 00:49:55,660 order to see planets that aren't just 1178 00:50:00,599 --> 00:49:59,260 perfectly aligned with us great I 1179 00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:00,609 believe we had one more question on the 1180 00:50:08,579 --> 00:50:05,290 line actually we have a question here in 1181 00:50:09,060 --> 00:50:08,589 the room AR I'm at Bigler ke CBS CBS 1182 00:50:11,910 --> 00:50:09,070 News 1183 00:50:13,920 --> 00:50:11,920 my son turns four this week he's getting 1184 00:50:16,020 --> 00:50:13,930 his first telescope it's actually a type 1185 00:50:19,020 --> 00:50:16,030 of spotting scope but it'll count as a 1186 00:50:21,599 --> 00:50:19,030 telescope could you explain to him what 1187 00:50:23,190 --> 00:50:21,609 your announcement is today why it's 1188 00:50:25,050 --> 00:50:23,200 important and I think if you do that 1189 00:50:28,260 --> 00:50:25,060 that will help me explain to your 1190 00:50:32,180 --> 00:50:28,270 average news consumer what it is that 1191 00:50:37,609 --> 00:50:34,250 uh you think this would be easy because 1192 00:50:39,950 --> 00:50:37,619 I have a five-year-old at home so what I 1193 00:50:46,280 --> 00:50:39,960 do is I work at the airport is what he 1194 00:50:49,430 --> 00:50:46,290 thinks I do so what's exciting about 1195 00:50:52,910 --> 00:50:49,440 today is we have taken our telescope and 1196 00:50:56,120 --> 00:50:52,920 we have counted up how many planets are 1197 00:50:56,660 --> 00:50:56,130 similar to the earth in this part of the 1198 00:51:01,460 --> 00:50:56,670 sky 1199 00:51:05,180 --> 00:51:01,470 and we said how many planets are there 1200 00:51:08,210 --> 00:51:05,190 that are similar to the earth and with 1201 00:51:12,800 --> 00:51:08,220 the data I have I can now make that 1202 00:51:15,260 --> 00:51:12,810 count and from there we're going to 1203 00:51:18,770 --> 00:51:15,270 determine how common other planets are 1204 00:51:21,680 --> 00:51:18,780 can we find it are there places that we 1205 00:51:26,990 --> 00:51:21,690 could live in the galaxy besides this 1206 00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:27,000 place that we call home that close and 1207 00:51:32,540 --> 00:51:31,170 yeah I resolved I think it's maybe a 1208 00:51:35,270 --> 00:51:32,550 little easier to describe it as far as 1209 00:51:36,680 --> 00:51:35,280 planets it's just like animals it's just 1210 00:51:39,980 --> 00:51:36,690 like when biologists discover a new 1211 00:51:42,380 --> 00:51:39,990 species of animals in this case we what 1212 00:51:44,420 --> 00:51:42,390 we thought was a single species of 1213 00:51:47,809 --> 00:51:44,430 animals is in fact two very different 1214 00:51:49,550 --> 00:51:47,819 things so that's I think that that boils 1215 00:51:50,720 --> 00:51:49,560 it down pretty nicely all right thank 1216 00:51:54,440 --> 00:51:50,730 you let's take another question from 1217 00:51:56,180 --> 00:51:54,450 online this comes from von Bismark how 1218 00:51:59,000 --> 00:51:56,190 big what an orbiting telescope like 1219 00:52:01,280 --> 00:51:59,010 Hubble need to be to get photos of these 1220 00:52:02,630 --> 00:52:01,290 distant planets and we could expand a 1221 00:52:04,640 --> 00:52:02,640 little bit and we're talking about the 1222 00:52:06,920 --> 00:52:04,650 future now and and those steps to get to 1223 00:52:08,359 --> 00:52:06,930 that point I think it's important to 1224 00:52:10,220 --> 00:52:08,369 keep in mind that when we talk about 1225 00:52:11,870 --> 00:52:10,230 directly imaging planets and the 1226 00:52:13,430 --> 00:52:11,880 habitable zones of nearby stars we're 1227 00:52:14,690 --> 00:52:13,440 not talking about making a beautiful 1228 00:52:16,309 --> 00:52:14,700 picture like the one you might hang on 1229 00:52:18,260 --> 00:52:16,319 your office wall we're talking about 1230 00:52:20,690 --> 00:52:18,270 collecting enough photons from the 1231 00:52:22,940 --> 00:52:20,700 planet to fill a pixel in your image and 1232 00:52:24,140 --> 00:52:22,950 then you study that image over time and 1233 00:52:26,030 --> 00:52:24,150 try to make guesses as to what the 1234 00:52:28,250 --> 00:52:26,040 surface could look like based on the 1235 00:52:29,990 --> 00:52:28,260 features you see in the planet for the 1236 00:52:31,640 --> 00:52:30,000 telescope designs we're considering for 1237 00:52:34,099 --> 00:52:31,650 the 2030s we're thinking about things 1238 00:52:36,109 --> 00:52:34,109 that might be the size of say 45 feet 1239 00:52:37,430 --> 00:52:36,119 across and that wouldn't give us a 1240 00:52:39,109 --> 00:52:37,440 picture of the planet but it would give 1241 00:52:40,069 --> 00:52:39,119 us the information we need to assess 1242 00:52:42,500 --> 00:52:40,079 whether that planet 1243 00:52:44,100 --> 00:52:42,510 might be some place that's hospitable to 1244 00:52:45,270 --> 00:52:44,110 life 1245 00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:45,280 all right thank you let's take another 1246 00:52:53,550 --> 00:52:50,130 one from social media this comes from PC 1247 00:52:55,650 --> 00:52:53,560 415 have any of these planet candidates 1248 00:53:02,670 --> 00:52:55,660 given any hint as to having large moons 1249 00:53:05,580 --> 00:53:02,680 or ring systems I did not find any 1250 00:53:08,970 --> 00:53:05,590 evidence of moons or rings around our 1251 00:53:10,710 --> 00:53:08,980 planets in this particular catalogue and 1252 00:53:12,780 --> 00:53:10,720 those are even more difficult to discern 1253 00:53:17,360 --> 00:53:12,790 extremely difficult out there looking 1254 00:53:22,320 --> 00:53:20,040 what here's another one from social 1255 00:53:24,680 --> 00:53:22,330 media ad t tcats 1256 00:53:30,630 --> 00:53:24,690 Wow which is the nearest planet 1257 00:53:33,140 --> 00:53:30,640 exoplanet and how far from us is it to 1258 00:53:35,930 --> 00:53:33,150 Rea be the plan around the closest star 1259 00:53:38,760 --> 00:53:35,940 and that's about four light-years yeah 1260 00:53:40,100 --> 00:53:38,770 great alright alright I think we have 1261 00:53:42,360 --> 00:53:40,110 one more question on the line 1262 00:53:44,490 --> 00:53:42,370 the next question is coming from Seth 1263 00:53:45,230 --> 00:53:44,500 Borenstein The Associated Press your 1264 00:53:47,750 --> 00:53:45,240 line is open 1265 00:53:52,740 --> 00:53:47,760 thank you again sorry to keep bothering 1266 00:53:54,240 --> 00:53:52,750 asking these questions can ask most of 1267 00:53:56,520 --> 00:53:54,250 the panels for all the panel's just to 1268 00:53:59,490 --> 00:53:56,530 go back eight years nine years before 1269 00:54:03,390 --> 00:53:59,500 Kepler was launched had you've been told 1270 00:54:05,880 --> 00:54:03,400 you would find 50 earth-like I mean have 1271 00:54:09,540 --> 00:54:05,890 you rocky planets in the habitable zone 1272 00:54:11,190 --> 00:54:09,550 is that a number um you know if you put 1273 00:54:14,520 --> 00:54:11,200 yourself would you be disappointed with 1274 00:54:17,070 --> 00:54:14,530 50 would you be more than surprised to 1275 00:54:19,530 --> 00:54:17,080 this beyond what you expected just to 1276 00:54:21,300 --> 00:54:19,540 put you know in other words is this more 1277 00:54:23,520 --> 00:54:21,310 than you expected is this less is this 1278 00:54:28,100 --> 00:54:23,530 about what you expected a sense you know 1279 00:54:30,450 --> 00:54:28,110 if you go back pre pre data thank you 1280 00:54:33,180 --> 00:54:30,460 this number could have been very very 1281 00:54:35,100 --> 00:54:33,190 small and I for one am ecstatic that 1282 00:54:36,840 --> 00:54:35,110 we've found 50 potentially habitable 1283 00:54:39,910 --> 00:54:36,850 worlds orbiting nearby stars that's 1284 00:54:44,529 --> 00:54:42,430 yeah eight years ago I was just starting 1285 00:54:46,450 --> 00:54:44,539 out and professional astronomy and we 1286 00:54:47,859 --> 00:54:46,460 definitely knew very little compared to 1287 00:54:50,230 --> 00:54:47,869 what we know now about the population of 1288 00:54:52,720 --> 00:54:50,240 exoplanets we really had no idea how 1289 00:54:55,480 --> 00:54:52,730 common earth planets earth-like planets 1290 00:54:56,680 --> 00:54:55,490 were and so that's that's why we made 1291 00:54:58,240 --> 00:54:56,690 the kepler mission was to answer that 1292 00:55:00,579 --> 00:54:58,250 question and we're still working on that 1293 00:55:01,660 --> 00:55:00,589 answer it's very difficult there are you 1294 00:55:04,329 --> 00:55:01,670 know many groups that have come up with 1295 00:55:06,730 --> 00:55:04,339 numbers and we're starting to converge 1296 00:55:08,109 --> 00:55:06,740 on the final answer but I am definitely 1297 00:55:10,890 --> 00:55:08,119 ecstatic that we've discovered that 1298 00:55:15,450 --> 00:55:10,900 amount I think that that is definitely a 1299 00:55:18,519 --> 00:55:15,460 nice number that I would have hoped for 1300 00:55:20,589 --> 00:55:18,529 number 50 is from what Kepler was able 1301 00:55:23,170 --> 00:55:20,599 to observe now the actual number the 1302 00:55:27,220 --> 00:55:23,180 intrinsic number in the galaxy is we're 1303 00:55:29,650 --> 00:55:27,230 talking in the billions yeah okay I 1304 00:55:32,319 --> 00:55:29,660 think we have one last question on the 1305 00:55:35,230 --> 00:55:32,329 phone go ahead a next question is going 1306 00:55:36,960 --> 00:55:35,240 to be from jonathan callahan IFL science 1307 00:55:40,029 --> 00:55:36,970 your line is open 1308 00:55:42,400 --> 00:55:40,039 hello thank you for taking my call I 1309 00:55:46,059 --> 00:55:42,410 have a question regarding finding an log 1310 00:55:48,430 --> 00:55:46,069 as I understand it this is Captain end 1311 00:55:50,499 --> 00:55:48,440 of its four year mission and to find 1312 00:55:52,960 --> 00:55:50,509 Condor scimitars we need to see three 1313 00:55:55,150 --> 00:55:52,970 transit so three years three years of 1314 00:55:57,549 --> 00:55:55,160 observations are there any more missions 1315 00:56:00,370 --> 00:55:57,559 planned in the future to find similar 1316 00:56:00,930 --> 00:56:00,380 planets from similar lengthy orbit thank 1317 00:56:03,819 --> 00:56:00,940 you 1318 00:56:05,230 --> 00:56:03,829 the plateau mission out of Europe will 1319 00:56:07,029 --> 00:56:05,240 have the potential to find planets very 1320 00:56:09,099 --> 00:56:07,039 long period orbits because that mission 1321 00:56:10,720 --> 00:56:09,109 will be staring for roughly two years in 1322 00:56:12,579 --> 00:56:10,730 certain patch of the sky as well as 1323 00:56:14,470 --> 00:56:12,589 doing another set of steps where they 1324 00:56:16,779 --> 00:56:14,480 look at fields for Less durations of 1325 00:56:18,339 --> 00:56:16,789 time with the test mission depending on 1326 00:56:20,019 --> 00:56:18,349 what they choose to do in year three and 1327 00:56:22,029 --> 00:56:20,029 beyond perhaps they could also find 1328 00:56:23,349 --> 00:56:22,039 planets very long period orbits but one 1329 00:56:25,269 --> 00:56:23,359 of the pathways we're considering going 1330 00:56:27,519 --> 00:56:25,279 forward is finding a planet with a 1331 00:56:29,769 --> 00:56:27,529 transiting survey whether it's Kepler k2 1332 00:56:31,809 --> 00:56:29,779 or tests following up with other 1333 00:56:33,009 --> 00:56:31,819 missions perhaps using radio velocity 1334 00:56:34,539 --> 00:56:33,019 from the ground to measure the mass the 1335 00:56:36,370 --> 00:56:34,549 planet and then doing targeted 1336 00:56:38,140 --> 00:56:36,380 observations of that particular star to 1337 00:56:39,700 --> 00:56:38,150 confirm it so we don't necessarily need 1338 00:56:41,289 --> 00:56:39,710 to use the same spacecraft to see all 1339 00:56:44,349 --> 00:56:41,299 three transits Mario do you have 1340 00:56:46,720 --> 00:56:44,359 something you would add yes let me 1341 00:56:49,599 --> 00:56:46,730 remind people that the first exoplanet 1342 00:56:52,150 --> 00:56:49,609 were found only about 22 years ago so 1343 00:56:53,440 --> 00:56:52,160 there's a very young field and NASA is 1344 00:56:55,930 --> 00:56:53,450 very interested in continuing 1345 00:56:58,569 --> 00:56:55,940 path the announcement we made today 1346 00:57:01,210 --> 00:56:58,579 really at the beginning of this path and 1347 00:57:04,180 --> 00:57:01,220 to continue searching for new worlds and 1348 00:57:07,260 --> 00:57:04,190 finding signs of life and beyond our 1349 00:57:10,210 --> 00:57:07,270 solar system nASA has a path to continue 1350 00:57:13,359 --> 00:57:10,220 studying right now we're studying for a 1351 00:57:16,060 --> 00:57:13,369 large mission concept which which two of 1352 00:57:18,940 --> 00:57:16,070 them are capable to do great work and 1353 00:57:24,130 --> 00:57:18,950 advance the field of exoplanet however 1354 00:57:25,180 --> 00:57:24,140 we we don't ourself determine the type 1355 00:57:28,060 --> 00:57:25,190 of mission we're going to do in the 1356 00:57:29,560 --> 00:57:28,070 future this is a it's a task given by 1357 00:57:31,870 --> 00:57:29,570 Congress to the National Academy of 1358 00:57:35,500 --> 00:57:31,880 Sciences which every 10 years advise us 1359 00:57:41,170 --> 00:57:35,510 to continue with this plan so in 2020 we 1360 00:57:43,359 --> 00:57:41,180 will be here and we have high pectin see 1361 00:57:45,460 --> 00:57:43,369 that several of this activities 1362 00:57:47,950 --> 00:57:45,470 including probe mission which are 1363 00:57:50,829 --> 00:57:47,960 mid-size class like Kepler a large 1364 00:57:53,710 --> 00:57:50,839 mission will be recommended to the 1365 00:57:55,839 --> 00:57:53,720 agency to NASA to continue this search 1366 00:57:58,990 --> 00:57:55,849 so we are really at the beginning of the 1367 00:58:02,650 --> 00:57:59,000 path although Kepler was launched about 1368 00:58:06,700 --> 00:58:02,660 eight years ago this felis only 22 years 1369 00:58:08,980 --> 00:58:06,710 old really will be continuing this 1370 00:58:13,300 --> 00:58:08,990 search for life in fact within the 1371 00:58:17,230 --> 00:58:13,310 agency the earth 2.0 is an iconic goal 1372 00:58:20,710 --> 00:58:17,240 that respect to to reach maybe in the 1373 00:58:21,010 --> 00:58:20,720 next 5 10 or 20 years but let me say one 1374 00:58:27,180 --> 00:58:21,020 thing 1375 00:58:29,050 --> 00:58:27,190 alone and maybe Kepler today had tell us 1376 00:58:30,790 --> 00:58:29,060 indirectly although with our 1377 00:58:35,380 --> 00:58:30,800 confirmation that we are probably not a 1378 00:58:37,180 --> 00:58:35,390 lot right let's take one more question 1379 00:58:39,309 --> 00:58:37,190 and then we're going to wrap up for the 1380 00:58:42,609 --> 00:58:39,319 day the questions coming from from 1381 00:58:45,819 --> 00:58:42,619 social media it's regarding James Webb 1382 00:58:48,190 --> 00:58:45,829 Space Telescope and that next step so 1383 00:58:50,800 --> 00:58:48,200 JWST is scheduled to launch next next 1384 00:58:54,849 --> 00:58:50,810 year how many of these planets will be 1385 00:58:58,480 --> 00:58:54,859 priorities for atmosphere study let me 1386 00:59:01,700 --> 00:58:58,490 explain that just a little bit briefly 1387 00:59:03,740 --> 00:59:01,710 mario's that's a detail all I would say 1388 00:59:06,020 --> 00:59:03,750 all of them although a few of them are 1389 00:59:10,010 --> 00:59:06,030 already in the queue to be observed in 1390 00:59:12,080 --> 00:59:10,020 fact many of the Kepler most interesting 1391 00:59:14,330 --> 00:59:12,090 targets already part of the early 1392 00:59:16,130 --> 00:59:14,340 science release in which four of the 1393 00:59:18,830 --> 00:59:16,140 instruments of James Webb will be 1394 00:59:20,900 --> 00:59:18,840 pointed starting during even the 1395 00:59:24,170 --> 00:59:20,910 commissioning time after the launch in 1396 00:59:26,960 --> 00:59:24,180 November 2018 next year so I would say 1397 00:59:28,820 --> 00:59:26,970 all all of them us at the community 1398 00:59:31,790 --> 00:59:28,830 advanced in the new observing cycle 1399 00:59:34,670 --> 00:59:31,800 James Webb will be able to inject this 1400 00:59:37,190 --> 00:59:34,680 the target to be follow up by James Webb 1401 00:59:38,600 --> 00:59:37,200 and the many other spacecraft was 1402 00:59:43,130 --> 00:59:38,610 serving for example remind you that 1403 00:59:45,530 --> 00:59:43,140 Hubble still is in still observing us in 1404 00:59:49,040 --> 00:59:45,540 the 27-year observing and will continue 1405 00:59:51,350 --> 00:59:49,050 for many more years to go so Hubble in 1406 00:59:53,780 --> 00:59:51,360 the spitzer hopefully will be observing 1407 00:59:57,380 --> 00:59:53,790 for a few more year will be very helpful 1408 00:59:59,930 --> 00:59:57,390 in this path of characterizing this very 1409 01:00:00,380 --> 00:59:59,940 interesting new world alright thank you 1410 01:00:02,990 --> 01:00:00,390 Mario 1411 01:00:05,330 --> 01:00:03,000 very exciting steps on the horizon on 1412 01:00:08,210 --> 01:00:05,340 our way to confirm whether or not we are 1413 01:00:10,040 --> 01:00:08,220 alone well we'll wrap it for today's 1414 01:00:12,050 --> 01:00:10,050 briefing I'd like to thank the panelists 1415 01:00:13,730 --> 01:00:12,060 for sharing these exciting results I'd 1416 01:00:15,320 --> 01:00:13,740 like to thank everyone here in the live 1417 01:00:18,260 --> 01:00:15,330 audience and for those of you joining on 1418 01:00:19,850 --> 01:00:18,270 the call as well as online if you joined 1419 01:00:20,990 --> 01:00:19,860 in late don't worry we have the 1420 01:00:22,640 --> 01:00:21,000 materials that you heard today and 1421 01:00:28,160 --> 01:00:22,650 recording of this press conference 1422 01:00:29,780 --> 01:00:28,170 online at WWE gov 4 / Kepler if you'd 1423 01:00:33,460 --> 01:00:29,790 like to follow us on social media you 1424 01:00:36,800 --> 01:00:33,470 can find us on Twitter at wwe.com 1425 01:00:38,080 --> 01:00:36,810 forward slash NASA Kepler and also on 1426 01:00:41,660 --> 01:00:38,090 Facebook 1427 01:00:45,650 --> 01:00:41,670 WWF ace book.com forward slash NASA's 1428 01:00:47,420 --> 01:00:45,660 Kepler mission so thanks for tuning in